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What is apparent is the total absence of CDU big guns: none of the powerful provincial PMs are present, nor Merkel's estranged onetime ally, 'financial expert' Friedrich Merz. (Funny story about the latter: to counter a boring image, he invented a wild past of himself as a motorbike rowdie - only to be exposed by former classmates...)

As I have written elsewhere, Merkel's main opponents are the members of the so-called Anden-Pakt, a power alliance now including three provincial PMs. One of these is Hessen's Roland Koch whom I mentioned in the defense minister's description, another (Christian Wulff, head of Lower Saxony) is the most popular politician at present (it seems to me, basically for looking good and not doing anything spectacular).

In the current setup, most CDU ministers are Merkel's followers. This could allow the Anden-Pakt guys to establish themselves as the shadow government of a virtual opposition, ready to take over after the next elections. That possibility can be realised if they can focus the public's eventual blame on the SPD and Merkel's circle rather than the CDU, and of course surviving as viable alternatives at hand.

Furthermore, I think it may be that it wasn't Merkel's decision to keep them out: they might have passed down offers from Merkel, hoping for something better after her. At any rate, they can limit Merkel's power through the second chamber of the German federal parliament (the Bundesrat), which consists of delegates of the state governments. And this analysis hasn't even considered what SPD ministers might be up to.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Tue Oct 18th, 2005 at 06:21:03 AM EST
Three on-topic English-language articles Fran posted in the Breakfast thread:

The FT on Merkel with an opposed point of mine, about being forced to name party rivals - they focus on the CSU ministers.

SPIEGEL interview with Merkel (in English), with some stupid questions on her woman-ness, and a ridiculous claim from her that she is immune to the seduction of power. (As I see it, succumbing to it describes her career over the last 15 years...)

The Times on opposition to highway privatisation, another of those flunky ideas.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Tue Oct 18th, 2005 at 06:44:49 AM EST
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