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To be honest, I was surprised about that info on investment slowdown. I remember distinctly numbers that showed the exact opposite, with investment remaining much stronger in the eurozone than in the USa and UK. I need to dig this up again.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Nov 23rd, 2005 at 05:19:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yeah, I was just looking at the US numbers and there was no slowdown in gross domestic investment.

There was a slowdown in net investment between the late 1970s and the 1980s/90s because much of the later investment was in things that depreciate rapidly like computers and software.

I'll have to take a closer look at that.

by TGeraghty on Wed Nov 23rd, 2005 at 06:34:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Here's something. Robert Brenner in his book The Boom and the Bubble lays out some numbers that (if they are right) seem to verify what Blanchard is saying:

                    Net                Growth Rate of
                Profit Rate          Capital Stock
             1950-70  1970-93  1950-70 1970-93
US             12.9%    9.9%     3.8%    3.0%
Germany    23.2     13.8        6.0       2.6
Japan         21.6     17.2        9.4       7.1
G-7            17.6     13.3        4.5       4.3

but . . .

France        24.2     21.0        3.6       4.7

doesn't seem to fit the pattern (although the years are a little different, starting in 1952 and ending in 1987).

The numbers are from OECD and this book.

by TGeraghty on Wed Nov 23rd, 2005 at 12:53:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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