Display:
Keynesian economics was never discredited.  It just took a break for twelve years, under Reagan and Bush I.  (Eight more under Bush II.)  Ever notice that all the famous Neoclassicalists are (a) retired, (b) writing growth theories, or (c) writing on political philosophy?  It's because they were never able to solve the puzzle.  Never came close.

Milton Friedman's entire career was based on a deeper understanding of something that was simply common sense to Keynes:  That money was not neutral and did matter.  (Keynes wrote A Tract on Monetary Reform decades before Friedman's Monetary History of the US.)  Friedman, by the way, got the story wrong on the Depression, in my opinion.  It wasn't the Fed's action that caused the Depression.  It was its inaction.

Supply-Side economics was not invented by Mundell and Laffer, nor was it first carried out by Reagan.  It was invented by Solow and Tobin, and Kennedy put it into action in the early '60s.  And, unlike Reagan's tax cuts (which were completely. fucking. useless.), Kennedy's really did help to bring an economic boom -- the largest in pre-Clinton US history -- because marginal rates were so damned high.  (I'm sorry.  I'm as liberal as the next guy, but 70%+ of income is just too much taxation.)

I'll give my hypothesis in a new diary, shortly.  I agree with some of rdf's point, but not all of it.  It's much more complex, in my opinion.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Nov 28th, 2005 at 12:03:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I agree with your point that Keynesian economics was never really debunked, but it is somewhat out of fashion these days.

Looking forward to reading your diary.

by TGeraghty on Mon Nov 28th, 2005 at 12:19:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It depends on where you look.  The Ivy League in America is dominated by Keynesians -- New Keynesians, to be precise.  Schools in the Mid-West are dominated by Neoclassicalists.  Schools on the West Coast are a mixture of the two.  (UC-Berkeley, for example, is very Keynesian.  UCLA leans Neoclassicalist.)  Schools in the South are very conservative/libertarian, often with staffs of Austrians and Supply-Siders.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Nov 28th, 2005 at 12:38:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
view on economics irelevant in poltical terms? Whilst there are still good schools peddling austrian and supply-side measures there is no hope of actually disrupting the psychological consensus on the right that "Keynes is bunk."

(Of course, you can point out that the relative academic support for global climate change has failed to persuade various parts on the right, but overall I do think that the concept of global climate change is making more headway than the idea that the Reagan years may not have been all perfect...)

I too am looking forward to your diary.

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Mon Nov 28th, 2005 at 05:21:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What about the famous dictum "You cannot have a rising money supply and rising unemployment?"
by ATinNM on Mon Nov 28th, 2005 at 10:50:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:
Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password
Recommended Diaries
Occasional Series