Display:
Oil futures are still in the $60 range as far as the eye can see. If you believe your theory, then you should sell everything you have and put it into oil futures, thus doubling your money in only a few months.

Or, much more likely, losing it!

True, there's only a fixed amount of oil. However, there's a lot of it still there, and the demand curve is quite elastic. If prices go up, demand can drop quite easily--because oil is mostly used for transportation and there are plenty of ways to reduce consumption with almost zero lifestyle impact. As you know.

A doubling in oil price will take years or decades. We had an artificially low price for the last few years because of the slowdown in the economy, and we needed to make that up, but at this point the cost of oil is pretty stable.

by asdf on Tue Jun 21st, 2005 at 05:17:11 AM EST
There will probably be a short retreat back to $50-55.  Buy futures then.  Given what OPEC has said, their floor is $48.  If you saw $53, the risk would be somewhat less than right now, and even a spike into the low $60's would be extremely valuable.

Do you feel lucky, punk?

Happy little moron, lucky little man. I wish I was a moron, my God, perhaps I am! -- Spike Milligan

by polecat on Tue Jun 21st, 2005 at 06:31:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:
Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password
Recommended Diaries
Recent Diaries
Hunger March wins PR battle
by DoDo - Feb 9
1 comment

Obama wins GOP Primaries (to date)
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 8
8 comments

Romania: protests change government
by DoDo - Feb 8
6 comments

Answers to the Renewable Energy Consultation
by Luis de Sousa - Feb 7

Bristol Pound
by ChrisCook - Feb 7
14 comments

The Imitation Of Germany
by afew - Feb 4
30 comments

Strange Fruit
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 4
10 comments

Murdoch - Outsourcing and Hubris
by ceebs - Feb 3
18 comments

Mismatch with the Natural Gas Market
by Luis de Sousa - Feb 3
22 comments

The Future of Economics
by ARGeezer - Feb 2
191 comments

Desert Island Discs - Helen's distortions
by Helen - Jan 31
48 comments

Gorila
by DoDo - Jan 29
14 comments

Rail News Blogging #7
by DoDo - Jan 29
15 comments

Obama's State Of The Union: LQD
by Crazy Horse - Jan 25
74 comments

Democracy Technology
by gmoke - Jan 24
1 comment

The Hydrogen dream
by Luis de Sousa - Jan 24
49 comments

ET Paris Meet-Up 2012 (2 UPDATE)
by afew - Jan 23
113 comments

Democracy in the EU
by afew - Jan 23
52 comments

Croatia to reject EU accession Sunday?
by SteelLady - Jan 21
19 comments

Surplusses and taxation
by das monde - Jan 21
7 comments

More Diaries...
Occasional Series