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Individual voters cast their ballots in support of either red-green, black-yellow, or none of the above (Linkspartei)  At best a grand coalition is the second choice of a lot of voters. I believe that somebody posted a poll saying 40% wanted it under these conditions.
by MarekNYC on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 03:12:59 AM EST
I respectfully disagree, with you that nothing can be read out of the German vote on Sunday.

What exactly can be read out of the vote is of course to be disputed, but the vote did not shift the power-balance from the present coalition to the alternative, so it does not seem to be a vote for change of power, but rather a vote for a perticular kind of policy, a moderate pace of reforming the German economy.  

Bitsofnews.com Giving you the latest bits.

by Geir E Jansen on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 11:28:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, to be fair, CDU/CSU and FDP have together more seats than SPD and GREEN.

However, that does not mean anything, because they don;t have a majority - and that is why there is the broughhah. If there still were no Links party or they mysteriously disappeared out of parliament, CDU/CSU and FDP would have a majority and would be able to govern. As it stands they cannot, but the fact remains, Percentage wise, losses on the SPD and GREEN site, made them drop below the number of seats the CDU/CSU - FDP has. so there is a shift in power. away from SPD and GREEN - which has to be called voter dissatisfaction with their governance.

The fact that they also did not trust CDU/CSU - FDP, enough, to put them into power clearly, is explaining why we now have so much fun....

by PeWi on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 11:39:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The overall balance in the German Bundestag between the two alternative government-coalitions, a centre-left and a centre-right has not changed, even though votes seem to have shifted from CDU/CSU to FDP, and from SPD to the new Left-party.

After Sunday's election-result, the majority of the representatives in the Bundestag, still are to the left of centre.  

On the basis of this fact, I think it is relevant to point out that the voters have given no message of power-change, rather a message of adjustment of policy, a policy of moderate pace on the reform of the German economy.

Bitsofnews.com Giving you the latest bits.

by Geir E Jansen on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 12:24:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I agree that there is no mandate for faster reform along black-yellow lines.  I just simply have problems with the whole idea of figuring out what 'the voters' were trying to say.  That only makes sense in landslide victories. In muddled messes like this one my view is that voters will get compromise solutions, not because that is what they want, but because they are hopelessly divided.
by MarekNYC on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 02:05:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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