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On the other side the drop in percent-points for the SPD, could partly be explained by the very establishment of the Left party, who to a great extend have taken votes away from the SPD.

I respectfully disagree :-)

This may appear to be the case if you only compare numbers with 2002 election results, but not if you compare it to poll numbers. As I argued here, the SPD actally increased its support (by 6%, and 8% above the minimum a few weeks later) after Schröder went for new elections and Lafontaine's resignation from the SPD kick-started the formation of the Left Party. This at the same time when the Left Party almost doubled its share over that of its predecessors' poll numbers, and the Greens ended up with the same 8% they polled at four months ago.

My explanation is: after the Left Party forced the SPD and Schröder to campaign with a leftist overtone rather than the same old same old, many voters returned.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Tue Sep 20th, 2005 at 12:49:58 PM EST
Well, I agree with you that the establishment of the Left-party, may have forced the red-green coalition to address issues favoured by left-leaning voters, more focus on social issues, a moderate pace on reforming the economy etc. during the election-campaign, thus slowly increasing their stand in the polls, and closing the gap to the CDU/CSU.

In my article though, I was primarily focusing on the drop in percentage-points from the election of 2002, both for the CDU/CSU and SPD, and the cause to this decrease.
 

Bitsofnews.com Giving you the latest bits.

by Geir E Jansen on Tue Sep 20th, 2005 at 08:30:26 PM EST
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