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The voters have decided - but it is hard to understand them.

Here are the seats as projected by ARD and ZDF, about 30 minutes ago:

ARD

SPD  212
CDU  219
GRE   51
FDP   64
LEF   52

ZDF

SPD  210
CDU  219
GRE   51
FDP   65
LEF   53

CDU/FDP are 16 or 15 seats short of absolute majority (299). It is probable that CDU wins more overhang mandates than SPD, but it is practically impossible that such big a gap can be closed by that.

Right now, almost everything is being put on the table:

CDU+SPD
SPD+FDP+Greens
CDU+FDP+Greens (!)

Formally, Merkel has the right to start with coalition building. But Schröder will, simultaneously, talk with the FDP, no matter what Westerwelle said.

A grand coalition would make Schröder a pensioner, a traffic lights coalition would cost Westerwelle's head.

The next days will be very interesting. Merkel will have a hard time, and we will have to see if she survives this defeat (I know CDU has gained the most votes, but still: it's a defeat). For her internal enemies are strong and numerous.

by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 02:00:46 PM EST
Forgive the ignorance on the subject but what are the LEF policies like? I have come to understand that they were newly formed just prior to the election being called (pretty good result under the circumstances)

Join The Community - the voices must be heard Voices In The Wilderness
by The Voice on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 02:09:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They are the leftists. Socialists. More support for the common man, higher taxes for the corporations and wealthy people.
by Xanthippe on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 02:29:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"More support for the common man"  

I think that should read 'More support for the white common man.' Evil minorities brought to Germany by the evil capitalists to take jobs away from good German family father are a different story.

by MarekNYC on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 03:16:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
SPD just gained another seat on ARD while the others are unchanged.
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 02:11:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No, not true - FDP got one seat less.
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 02:12:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Can you elaborate who you think are her most persistent internal enemies?
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 02:51:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Stoiber in Bavaria and Koch in Hessia just pop up in my mind. :)

Stoiber probably didn´t want her to succeed where he failed in 2002. Koch is probably looking forward to the next federal election.

The problem with Merkel and the (West German) CDU is that she didn´t advance through the ranks from the bottom.
If you do that, you´ll have contacts, friends, in short a network of people supporting you. As we say in German, a "Hausmacht".
 

by Detlef (Detlef1961_at_yahoo_dot_de) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 03:07:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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