European Tribune - Comments - German elections Thread

German elections Thread | 236 comments (236 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: German elections Thread (none / 1)

Well, as you guys over in Germany have to get some sleep, I will leave with the prediction that it will be a grand coalition. I am not ready to predict who will be Chancellor. If Schroeder is fighting it hard, I guess Merkel has "no bock" to fight back yet.

May be we just get a disaster for a change.

by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 03:20:59 PM EST

Re: German elections Thread (none / 0)

hmm, ARD says that there will be tie between CDU and SPD in the Bundestag due to the higher number of Ueberhangmandaten of the SPD. The Greens say they have got "amazing offers" from Merkel and Zastrow from the FDP thinks that the new election might be necessary in the "near future".

Well, looks we get a disaster.

by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 03:27:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: German elections Thread (none / 0)

thanks for your caring, but I'm going to stay awake for another two hours or so. I want to get a better view on the Überhangmandate. Strangely, SPD is predicted more than CDU (which I really don't understand. it collides with my understanding of German electoral maths. Usually, the party that has handed over more Zweitstimmen, gets more Überhangmandate.).

by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 03:48:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: German elections Thread (none / 0)

I glanced at the Spiegel Wahlkreis map. Most Laender are far from complete, but in Saarland the SPD got a sweep in spite of getting only around 1/3 of the vote. That's one overhang seats right there. That interesting result is courtesy of the Linkspartei pulling down the total SPD vote but not preventing the SPD from getting all the seats. Perversely under certain circumstances a party is better off getting less zweitstimme.

by MarekNYC on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 04:06:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

German elections Thread | 236 comments (236 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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