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Playing around with Spiegel's nifty Wahlkreis map I clicked on the 2002 results, shaded according to which party won a plurality of zweitstimme (party preference votes). Wow! I thought the US had solid colours. Talk about a north south divide (or should I say prot-catholic) divide. Southern and Catholic Germany is basically solid CDU with the exception of the industrial areas of NRW and Saarland. The reverse is also true, with the exception of Saxony, the East is solid or almost solid red. So, more interestingly, is S-H and NS which bring to mind the Prot-Catholic divide. And while I may be misremembering this, my impression was the Saxony has more Catholics than typical of the East courtesy of expellees from neighbouring (mixed)Silesia and the (Catholic) Sudetenland.

Wahlkreis map

 

by MarekNYC on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 04:37:32 PM EST
Yeah, it is quite a divide and well the old confessional lines are certainly important here (CDU as the former Catholic Zentrum) - maybe one reason why they are so bad this time round. It is the first Protestant, daughter of a minister, afterall, they ever put on the ballot paper, to become Kanzler.

Sachsen is more Protestant, but it is also the most "Christian" of the 5 new laender and I think for them it was the Christian - element that was the important factor. They are the only Land as well that had a solely CDU government.

by PeWi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 05:00:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You should see the New Zealand map. Literally - all the urban seats went for Labour and all the rural seats went for the National (mainstream conservatives). Very few exceptions.

IMO, the fundamental divide in global politics today is this one - between cosmpolitanism and tradition. You saw this divide in the French referendum. You see it also in Quebec politics vis-a-vis questions about sovreignty, PQ vs. Liberal.

Ben P

by Ben P (wbp@u.washington.edu) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 06:06:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Perhaps this distinction - between cosmopolitanism and tradition - isn't the best one to make in an election like Germany's, however, when the issues turned around economics primarily. Still, my sense is that the Bavarian voters are more sociall conservative than those in the rest of Germany? Or is this a wrong impression?
by Ben P (wbp@u.washington.edu) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 06:08:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
yes, that's true for the rural parts of Bavaria (i.e.: the most parts). But Munich is an SPD-city.
by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 06:26:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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