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First projection, by ARD:

SPD 34%
CDU 35.5% (OMG!)
Greens 8.5% (yay!)
FDP 10.5% (yikes!)
Linke 7.5%

That is one bizarro result! This means basically anything is still possible...

If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)

by brainwave on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:05:54 PM EST

FDP 10.5% (yikes!)

where are they coming from????

by PeWi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:07:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
the most successful second-vote-campaign ever.
by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:09:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I remember that kind of thing happening back in the 70s (unless I'm having another senior moment here).

If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)
by brainwave on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:13:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
1980?
by Detlef (Detlef1961_at_yahoo_dot_de) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 01:02:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
where are they coming from????

Maybe the Stefan Raab election special yesterday evening?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:19:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Why yickes ???? Don't get it.
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:41:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
CDU + FDP 46% - 2% (plus 1 vote - see below) short of what they need
SPD + Greens 42.5% - even less likely
SPD + Greens + Linke 50% - this is what CDU + FDP have to overcome (take two percentage points from them and add one vote)

If CDU and FDP can claw themselves up another 2%, they have a majority. If they don't, it'll most likely be a "big coalition" (CDU + SPD) or a revote. The truly amazing thing is, though, that the CDU is doing so bad in this projection that they might not even finish first - in which case we might even get an SPD-led big coalition, possibly even under Schroder. But, that's not likely to hold up...

If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)

by brainwave on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:12:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well with this result the SPD is the biggest fraction in the Bundestag afterall CDU and CSU is a coalition.
so big coalition with Schroeder as Kanzler???
by PeWi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:16:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
no. CDU/CSU is not a coaltion. It is a common faction.
by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:20:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
f CDU and FDP can claw themselves up another 2%, they have a majority.

For long the rule of the thumb was that city people typically vote later, but vote more to the Left. This meant SPD/Greens beating the exit polls in 2002 too, I hope this time it will mean even less for CDU/CSU+FDP than in the exit polls.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:31:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ZDF projection:

SPD 33%
CDU/CSU 37%
FDP 10.5%
Greens 8%
Left Party 8%

RTL exit poll:

SPD 33.5%
CDU/CSU 36%
FDP 10.5%
Greens 8.5%
Left Party 8.5%

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:16:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Presently CDU is down to 35.2 on ARD.

FDP down to 10.2

Greens down to 8.2

SPD unchanged

The only one going up is the Linke up to 8.4

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 01:27:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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