If CDU and FDP can claw themselves up another 2%, they have a majority. If they don't, it'll most likely be a "big coalition" (CDU + SPD) or a revote. The truly amazing thing is, though, that the CDU is doing so bad in this projection that they might not even finish first - in which case we might even get an SPD-led big coalition, possibly even under Schroder. But, that's not likely to hold up... If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)
For long the rule of the thumb was that city people typically vote later, but vote more to the Left. This meant SPD/Greens beating the exit polls in 2002 too, I hope this time it will mean even less for CDU/CSU+FDP than in the exit polls. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
