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nonetheless, "traffic lights" is being discussed intensely on ARD.
by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:26:03 PM EST
SPD-chairman Franz Müntefering:

"Schröder will remain chancellor!"

Meaning: SPD will try to arrange for a traffic lights coalition.

That is also what my source from within the SPD (he is currently at a party with science and education minister Edelgard Bulmahn) tells me.

by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:34:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Müntefering:

"There will be no cooperation with the Left Party."

by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:35:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They should ask Wowereit about how likely that project would be to succeed...

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:36:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Traffic Lights? Which one is that?
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:39:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
SPD (red), FDP (yellow) and Greens.
by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:41:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks, figured it by now. I hope they build this coalition.
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:49:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
yikes!

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:52:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
SPD = red
FDP = yellow
Green = you get the idea :-)

If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)
by brainwave on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:42:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Say some more about FDP...why would they interested in a left coalition?

"Once in awhile we get shown the light, in the strangest of places, if we look at it right" - Hunter/Garcia
by whataboutbob on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:43:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They wouldn't. They have a lot more to loose than to gain from such a deal. I think the reason Muentefering (the SPD Chairman) is floating this option right now is to prop up the mood of the faithful until we see more tangible results.

If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)
by brainwave on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:47:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, agreed, it is not a very likely proposition, but then...
by PeWi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:50:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, they USED to be in coalition with the SPD on Federal level, before they changed over to the CDU in 1982 (Genscher and Lambsdorf fabrication)

but there were some social liberals (Darendorf), not just the national, economic liberals leading the party now.

They had at one time, some decent politicians, Leutheuser-Schnarrenberg f.e,

but most left, are silenced, or changed to the SPD, Verheugen f.e European Vice President used to be a FDP or F.D.P. member

by PeWi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:49:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
yeah, yeah, just didn't know FDP are yellow...:-)

I associate yellow meanwhile with yellow elephants and needed to ajust my wiring.

by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:50:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
yello, green, red

aeh

red, yello , green

SPD, Liberals - FDP, Greens

by PeWi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:44:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Why would the FDP do that? Why support a highly instable government that's assured to have the wheels coming off at the first turn, knowing they're only going to get punished for it afterwards? The FDP would enter a traffic lights coalition only if their survival were at stake. Sadly, there's no evidence that it is (obviously I'm not exactly a fan of that lot)...

If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)
by brainwave on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:40:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, who thinks the FDP they are. As far as I am concerned they are nothing and they have only a life in a coalition with another party. They are dead if the go into coalition with the CDU. It's so tremendously boring. If the FDP goes into coalition with CDU, they can just become CDU themselves. Gosh, it's awful, I am not interested in German policies anymore other than that I don't trust the CDU/CSU to be honest brokers for the people's good. Merkel is another case. I think she isn't that conservative in her heart, she might just be a lose canon in foreign policies and may be also too unexperienced.
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:57:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Any chance FDP will accept coalition with SPD and the Greens?
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:37:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
About zero.

FDP is a neoliberal party, in permanent assault of any environmental issue that would limit business.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:47:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Why the fuck is that?
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:58:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, uh, because that's the nature of the party. What fucking part seems incomprehensible to you?

On second thought, because you're an American, maybe you are misled by the US meaning of the nomer 'liberal'. But, it was only in the USA that 'liberal' became associated with Big Government and social programs like the New Deal. Elsewhere, liberalism remained to be focused on freedoms (especially where those weren't yet achieved).

In the seventies, US economist Milton Friedman et al, the so-called 'Chicago school' who 'helped' Pinochet, created the theory that 1) the smaller the state and the more private the economy the better ('markets regulate themselves'), and 2) economic 'freedom' should be there first, it will create political freedoms second. This is called 'neoliberalism' world-wide, but in the US, used less often.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 01:07:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So, you really equate the FDP to the libertarians?  (Neoliberalism - is that comparable to right-wing libertarianism or more to left-wing libertarianism?)

I am actually German, but have lost track with German politics big time since 1980. I apparently have no clue what the FDP is all about these days. I am lost.
Also, from across the Atlantic, I couldn't get the divide between East and West Germans. I had to watch reunification on the TV set and have these days to host interns in their twenties from both parts of Germany, which made it clear to me that I have lost the capability to understand what's going on in Germany. I even don't vote anymore in Germany because of that.

by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 02:14:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Mimi,

I am a German too and the FDP is definitely NOT libertarian in the American sense.
(Hmm, you could probably compare them to center to right-wing Democrats in the USA?)

Pro-market yes, but if they ran on a "libertarian" platform they´d be lucky to even get 5% of the vote.

by Detlef (Detlef1961_at_yahoo_dot_de) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 02:52:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But I am getting so confused with the libertarians in the US. They seem to be center-left liberals, but then they are also outrageous right-wing extremist libertarians. I have no clue why both groups run under the umbrella of the libertarian category. I hate politics, nothing but an obfuscating fuzzy mess. Or let's say I am too dumb and too lazy to really try to understand their minds. :-)
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 05:20:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But I am getting so confused with the libertarians in the US.

1.  The reason you are confused is because most people, and alsmost everyone in the media, gives inaccurate and incomplete labels and/or descriptions to the political/economic theories or parties.

Its absolutely inaccurate, very confusing and even foolish, to divide the political spectrum into left and right.

  1.  There are no libertarians on this site.  I believe I am the only libertarian voice.  Maybe there are others, who just don't post, in part because they are afraid of being ridiculed, since some here would rather dismiss you, instead of debate the facts and theories.

  2.  Here is the link to the The US National Libertarian Party - http://www.lp.org/issues/issues.shtml, where you can learn and educate yourself about the libertarians party issues.  

  3.  Here is a Libertarian Purity Test - http://www.bcaplan.com/cgi/purity.cgi

Be reminded that the libertarians are not uniform and they come in different forms - haha.  However, in general they believe in more economic and personal freedoms for an individual, and less economic and personal power to the  all-knowing, all-understanding, all-generous, all-providing, all-caring state.  

The ultimate question is the individual freedom vs. state control.

5.  This site has the world's smallest political quiz - http://www.theadvocates.org/index.html

Look at the upper right portion.

(a) In essence there are 5 positions:

  1.  Libertarian;
  2.  Liberal;
  3.  Conservative;
  4.  Centrist;
  5.  Authoritarian.

(b)  now you can see that dividing people into right and left is incomplete, inaccurate and misleading.
by ilg37c on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 11:00:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
sorry, but does sound exactly like the FDP version of liberal. (maybe apart from Gun control issues) but then there is a different culture they are liberal to.
by PeWi on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 03:49:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't see the FDP calling for the

(1) the abolition of the income tax.  On the contrary, 2 American parties have it in their platform.

(a) the Libertarian Party
(b) the Constitution Party.

(b) the free trade.

(c) abolition of inheritance taxes, capital gain taxes.

(2) taking the state out of the education.

In sum, there are few libertarians, but no libertarian party.  Of course, in France, there is
Sabine Herold
who is a libertarian and got 80,000 people to protest against the unions.

by ilg37c on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 10:18:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
well, I have read a bit about the Libertarian's way of dividing not into groups from left to right, but from top to bottom on the scale of how much "authoritarianism" each group got in his guts.

I have to admit that I don't like it. You can have restrictive (ie authoritarian) rules concerning taxes for example to ensure a fairer distribution of wealth among the population, which would end up in the best case szenario as giving more people more freedoms.

You have to defend freedom of press and freedom of opinion against authoritarian hate speech to ensure that everybody feels comfortable to voice their opinion and not be bullied into silence. These would be authoritarian measures to protect freedoms.

So, I have my doubts about the top to bottom kind of scale. A fundamentalist libertarian can allow freedoms to be destroyed for the sake of staying truely libertarian and that doesn't make sense to me.

by mimi on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 07:54:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
  1.  The most important point is that dividing the political spectrum into 5 groups (the square spectrum) gives a more accurate depiction and provides less confusion that dividing people between the left and the right.

  2.   I have to admit that I don't like it.
You don't have to like it.  If everyone thought the same way, there won't be any disagreement or elections would there? :-)

3. You have to defend freedom of press and freedom of opinion against authoritarian hate speech to ensure that everybody feels comfortable to voice their opinion and not be bullied into silence.

(a) THere is an American Nazi party.  Big deal. They can print hate speech.  They can march and protest.  Big deal. They are miniscule.  Plus, once you have their opinions aired, you can debate them, show them how irrational or dangerous they are.

(b) same goes for the KKK.

4. Give me an example where your version of protecting against the hate speech provides more freedoms.

Cheers

There is no evidence taht the Libertarians do not want freedom of press or opinion.  The question is
(a) which method provides the most individual freedom;
(b) which method is more productive.

by ilg37c on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 10:12:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
1.  I don't know much about the FDP's internal politics, and the personalities that drive the party.  Its probably the only party that comes close to the Libertarian Party.

However, there is no principled libertarian party in Germany.

(a) It appears to me that the most likely scenario is the  SDP & CDU grand coalition.  It means there will never be a radical economic reform in Germany.  The concept of aboliting the income tax (the most hideous tax) is absolutely foreign to them.  The next close thing was the flat tax, but that is nowhere to be seen either.  So, they are left with (i) a complicated tax system, which probably is 14,593 pages (I am being sarcastic), which only tax lawyers and accountant can understand.  So the little people are screwed, because they can't afford to hire tax lawyers and CPAs to find loopholes in the tax code, (ii) state spending a large portion of the GDP with promises to the future generation that the state will pay for the health care and pension (of course the state has to steal ...ooops tax the money from individuals to pay for the services), (iii) labor market which is not free, but regulated and encourages higher unemployment, (iv) taxes on capital formation, which discourages creation of jobs and business.

Its the same old, same old.

Q:  Why would the FDP want to be associated with a failure?

(b) the second likely scenario is SDP/LP/Green coalition.  See above, except with a much terrible outcome.  

2. Maybe the FDP should sit and watch how Germany is slowly crumbling (low competitiveness, high unemployment, lower state benefits, lower economic growth, higher trade barriers, protectionism, more power to the trade unions, more strikes, etc).

Then, hopefully, either the CDU will adopt free-market, libertarian positions, or maybe (not likely) the voters will vote for the FDP and accept some austere measures for the sake of the future generation.

3.  Full disclosure - the FDP has not paid me for this consultation (haha).  They can hire Nobel Prize economists from the University of Chicago, or the CATO Institute.

by ilg37c on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 11:20:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
after this could please also explain the difference between Manchester Capitalism and Rheinland Capitalism?

(Sorry, it is a slightly snarky request, and I smirkingly accept, that you might be the only L voter in these rows)

by PeWi on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 03:52:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]
  1.  I am not an expert either in the "Manchester School of Economics" or in "Rheinland Capitalism."

  2. (a) The Manchester School originated in the 19th Century, because of the desire  for free trade.  I do not believe they had a platform for monetary or tax or fiscal policies; I might be wrong about the latter part, and if so, someone will point it out.  As

(b) I was asked to post a diary about a free trade, and I should spend time to organize it, which I haven't done.  Jerome also thinks a debate about free trade will be good.  There are always two sides of a coin (not equally right), and free trade has its good and its bad.  The question is whether free trade overall is good or bad for more people most of the time. In other words, if the free trade benefits 80 people and hurts 20, on balance its good.  

(c) Sometime, in the past, I posted links that gave three different perspectives in favor of free trade
(i) liberal (minority view, even though Bill Clinton signed and Dems voted for NAFTA), (ii) conservative (majority view, even though Pat Buchanan and others oppose it), (iii) libertarian (overwhelming view).

You can check back at my comments and find out, if you are interested.

(d) My short answer for free trade is simple:  Let Africa and Latin America and Asia (large part) live in  the industrial and agricultural age, and let's move to the information age (space, biotech, nanotech, genetic engineering, health care, internet, etc).  Most people in these industries will make a lot more money than if they worked in metallurgy or meat factories.  

It also means that education (and creative thinking) will become more important because we live in the information age.

by ilg37c on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 11:11:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Rheinland kapitalism means that a company shows resonsibility for the wellfare of its workforce from the cradle to the grave and not just qhile they worked at a plant, Things such as:

Building and providing houses, pension, 13th Salary at Christmas, cheap holidays, sports facilities, medical facilities.

A tradition that used to be very strong in Germany - introduced not by the state, but by the industrialists themselves.

by PeWi on Tue Sep 20th, 2005 at 12:32:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
well, unless you just want to tease me, I am very interested to find a strong economic theorist, who brings the University Schoold of Economics opinions to its knees. I think outside the US the concept of libertarianism in economic theory is misunderstood as being liberal-leftist and a beacon of freedom and fairness. I am so laywomanish and uneducated when it comes to that specific school, but I don't trust them for a minute.

They could go on too long to confuse people. To me they are wolves in sheep clothes (or whatever you call it). And if the FDP falls for those theories I just think that they don't know what they are dealing with.

by mimi on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 08:04:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Instead of studying in the university for economic theories, here are 2 short cuts (but you don't get a degree - haha):

1.  Read this book by Milton Friedman -
FREE TO CHOOSE
Its a fast read.

  1.  Ask yourself a simple question:   Who can solve this economic problem better - an individual (or a group of individuals associated on the basis of freedom) or a state (through its political machinations and bureaucracy)?

  2.   "Hell hath no fury like a bureaucrat scorned."  :-)

Right on.  Next time, use this observation, when a bureaucrat impedes any freedom or progress.  It works every time its tried.
by ilg37c on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 10:34:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And don't forget the really important question: will this allow me to justify acting in my own self interest without regard for any one else's interests while pretending that its for their own good?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 11:11:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
1. When a baker bakes bread, he does not think about you or me. He doesn't even know about you or me.  

(a) He acts for his self interest - bake bread, make money, to support himself and his family.  Its called the invisible hand.
(b) I take the baker any time over any government bureaucrat.

2. When Bill Gates (or Microsoft) programs a software, he/she doesn't know you or me and doesn't do for our good.  
(a) He did it to have fame, or money, or success, or all of the above.  Or maybe, he was a geek, and couldn't get a date, and now he can.  The end result was a product or service.

(b) I take Bill Gates any time over any government bureaucrat.  Or if you are an Apple fan, I go with Steve Jobs.

  1. The communists had "lofty and noble" goals.  See what it brought too.  Ask Mao, ask Castro, ask Lenin, ask Stalin, ask Pol Pot, ask, ask, ask.

  2.  I let Schroeder and his government programs solve the Germany's social and economic problems.  That of course assumes that the government knows better than the individual.  He believes in it and I salute him.  I want more power and more control under Herr Schroeder.  (smile)
by ilg37c on Mon Sep 19th, 2005 at 10:53:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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