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Possible effects:

A) Germany has a (predominantly) proportional system, but parties get in on list votes only if they pass 5%. Seing its poll numbers sink, FDP campaigned for CDU voters to give their list vote to the FDP - maybe with overwhelming success.

B) Last night, popular German talk-show host Stefan Raab did his own election show. I don't have a very high opinion of him, yet he is very popuzlar among a certain section of the youth. Meanwhile, in recent years, the FDP has tried to attract just this clientele. Yesterday, in the show, they held a mock telephone voting of viewers, and the FDP of course did rather well. Maybe this had a lasting effect on some young people who would have voted for CDU.

C) IMO most likely: on the TV channel ARD, polls showed a dramatic swing in preferred coalitions: the popularity of a CDU/SPD Grand Coalition slumped, that of a CDU/FDP one rose. Maybe a lot of CDU voters wanted to prevent a Grand Coalition.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 12:43:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I can't imagine that Schroeder would have ever accepted a CDU/SPD coalition. Had he given any such indications that he would? That would be really strange.
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 01:00:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But this is not about what Schröder likes. If a Grand Coalition is the only possibility, the SPD (led by its ministers) will dump Schröder and join a Merkel-led government.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 01:11:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
oh ... SPD/CDU coalition under Merkel's leadership?
hmm ... why is it that I don't think that's too bad?
For some reason I don't believe Merkel to be a conservative by ideology, so it may actually work, because the extreme conservative opportunists at the CDU might be "controlled and checked" efficiently enough then by the SPD, or not?
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 02:19:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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