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Berlusconi's personal political entity is in freefall. The center right coalition has 0,8% improvement as a whole over the pre-Christmas results thanks to approval ratings for the Allianza Nazionale and the CDU that compensate for the Forza Italia losses.

I do not think a 0,8% variation is significant. I would appreciate any news of poll reportings abroad since they may be indications of deliberate spin campaigns. Certainly lousy craftmanship.

There was an on-line error last Friday on la Repubblica site that you may be refering to which indicated an 8% gain. It was an error. It is 0,8%.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Sun Jan 15th, 2006 at 10:20:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
On the other hand, there is some trend in the polls collected at this site:



*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Jan 15th, 2006 at 11:11:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, I saw that poll. It's an internet poll based on reader input, so I have my doubts it is a professional poll. Perhaps there is a way of adjusting results to account for possible gaming of the poll.

I am no expert on polls and statistics but have my suspicions on that particular poll. Also, it does not take into account the difference of forces within each coalition, something I mentioned in my comment.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Sun Jan 15th, 2006 at 11:35:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There are two polls conducted recently which can be found at this government site. All official polls relating to government or institutions are published there. I have discussed Italian polls in a recent post, Italian spin- Reuter's style.

The two polls indicate a slight change as mentioned above. At the same time B continues to say publicly that polls indicate that he is 1,5 % behind the center-left. This is simply false, yet continues to be reported abroad.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Sun Jan 15th, 2006 at 12:02:32 PM EST
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