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I think the CNN article is talking in the short to near term.
The bad news (or good, depending on your point of view) is it looks as though today's prices are here to stay, possibly through much of next year.
and
But don't expect $100 a barrel
But that doesn't mean prices are going to spike again soon.

The biggest reason not is that stockpiles are near record levels and fall is what experts call the "shoulder months" - the time between strong summer demand from driving and air conditioning and winter's heating needs. Basically, there's not much to move the market.

Come 2007, investments that have been made in production, thanks to the recent high prices, could start to come online and boost supply.

I think you have to talk about energy prices over decades, due to the development times for new innovation, and the development times for new sources, like oil fields.  But I imagine that you are right that oil will hit $100 in the long term, say by 2020--2030, and I would think most would agree.
by wchurchill on Sun Oct 1st, 2006 at 04:46:23 PM EST
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I tend to agree, but it will happen long before 2020 just on the Chinese/Indian growth curve vs production growth curve.  $100 isn't really all that expensive.  Most Europeans are paying gasoline prices well above what $100 crude implies for the US(about $2.75/gallon mogas at the wholesale level or $3.50-75ish retail on US wide average)  

or 15 minutes after an al Qaeda attack on Ras Tanura.

whichever comes first.

by HiD on Mon Oct 2nd, 2006 at 04:55:07 AM EST
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