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My last bet was like this:

It all boils down to if the Americans attack Iran. On one hand, that would be insane. On the other hand, the neocons are insane. But I still can't bring myself to believe they will really attack. So...

Highest: $86/bl in October, after continued nastiness everywhere topped with a big hurricane in GOM.

Year-end: $77/bl

Natgas highest: $21/mbtu after the October hurricane

No $100 oil this year, because there will be no war with Iran (please!)


If that damn hurricane had arrived I would have won, I am sure of it. But there was no hurricane and prices fell. Now that the spare capacity is increasing I see no reason for a price increase, especially if the winter is warm.

So I'll lower my bet to $52.52.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 09:55:15 AM EST
Now I have hedged my bets. If the price of oil falls, I might get a bottle of Champagne. If it increases, I make money and can buy a bottle of Champagne. ;)

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Fri Nov 24th, 2006 at 11:42:38 AM EST
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