European Tribune - Comments - Countdown to $100 oil (36)

Countdown to $100 oil (36) - Free game! win champagne! no risk! | 15 comments (15 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

You are going to allow predictions to be made 42 days from the end of the year to be compared with those that were made in December of last year?! That is like asking people to make bets on the World Cup at the beginning of the tournament, and then when you get down to the finals, and everyone knows it's France or Italy, letting everyone change their bets! Obviously that is not fair. Why are you changing the rules at the end of the contest?

by wchurchill on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 12:41:45 AM EST

Fair enough (none / 1)

I'll check in any case (and announce) who had the best bet from last year. We'll see about the champagne!

wchurchill, you've been missed around here!

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 02:17:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Fair enough (none / 0)

Good, that is a fair way to do it--basically two contests if I read you right. The original, and the "stretch run". For some reason I find annual projections more interesting--I guess because I do them all the time,,,,annual sales targets, annual budgets, etc.

Thanks for your comment. I have a lot going on right now, with the favorable stock markets, and considering some new opportunities. I've lurked at ET when I could, making the odd comment here and there.

I'm going to stick with my original SWAG on oil, Scientific Wild Ass Guess, that is:

1.Highest: $80 due to some unrest in Middle East, but also just normal variation around the mean.
2.Year-end: $58.

Looks like I'm in the running, but may be edged out at the end of the day.

by wchurchill on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 11:39:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Countdown to $100 oil (36) - Free game! win champagne! no risk! | 15 comments (15 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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