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In 2003, El Mundo or El Pais has a front page story about a poll that showed majorities thought of themselves primarily in terms of regonal identity rather than being Spanish in the Basque Country, Navarra, and Cataluna.

Part of the reason the proposed Basque referendum was so contentious was because polls showed the referendum would pass with a narrow victory.  And that would sort of fuel the assertion by ETA that the Spanish state is undemocratic, no wouldn't it?

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Tue Nov 28th, 2006 at 12:17:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Except it wouldn't pass in Alava, making the Basque state undemocratic. And a joint referendum with Navarra would fail in navarra as well.

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 28th, 2006 at 12:25:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Which means that you can either have an undemocratic Basque or Spanish state, or you can have a divided Basque country.  None of these options are paricularly appealing.

In the long term, I suspect that a divided Basque country, Vicaya and Guipuzcoa Basque, Alava Spanish, and Navarra a state of its own would reduce the prevalance of conflict.  Significant minorities in Viscaya and Guipuzcoa support violence, but with their own state, the hardliners would lose the support of sympathizers.  

This is but one example of the type of messes that nationalism let lose by Scots independence could bring.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Tue Nov 28th, 2006 at 12:53:37 PM EST
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