Display:
Firstly, the dollar potentially has a long way to fall, exacerbated by the fact that once such a trend starts it inevitably goes too far.

Secondly, it's not that clear to me exactly what the US currently makes that the rest of the world will be queuing up to buy in preference to getting it elsewhere.

Changing that will take time, if its possible at all. So any correction of the deficit would come IMHO from a fall-off of US demand (aka a recession) as opposed to a rise in foreign demand for US exports.

Thirdly, I doubt whether this will be an orderly process, bearing in mind the mob psychology of markets.

Better keep whistling in the dark, I think....

"Any economic unit can emit money. The serious problem is to get it accepted" Hyman Minsky

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Tue Dec 12th, 2006 at 04:25:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You did notice that the chart shows that U.S. is a HUGE exporter, though. The American problem (well, one of many) is excessive importing of oil.
by asdf on Tue Dec 12th, 2006 at 11:53:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:
Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password
Occasional Series