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Yes, people in the EU are more likely to encounter a broader range of diversity than people in the US, but there are fewer people in the EU who imagine themselves to be Europeans first and foremost, and French and Pole and Slovak and Spanish and Scottish after.
The question is, how many people see themselves as Europeans first? I don't know what bodily orifice the following is pulled out of, but 5-10% seems about right...
How many MEPs does Newropeans reckon to obtain in the European elections of 2009?

Newropeans reckons to obtain between 5% and 10% of the votes in the European elections of 2009 and therefore between 50 and 75 MEPs. This would immediately turn Newropeans into a key political actor in the European Parliament: the only one with a European group from the same political movement, and the only one to have a direct relationship with European citizens from all over the continent. That will allow us to implement the programme, and to attract MEPs and other movements represented in the European Parliament. In function of such a result, Newropeans would hope to obtain over 150 seats in 2014.

This is from a political movement that wishes to contest the European Parliament election and whose constituency is precisely those who see themselves as European first.

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Dec 9th, 2006 at 09:48:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If they are right that they can draw 5%, and if in complete ignorance of how many who view themselves as Europeans first prefer support a New Europe strategy and how many prefer a stragey of engaging with existing national parties to reward those that are more PanEuropean, that was estimated at 50:50, pr'aps 10.

Of course, maximum entropy estimates are admissions of ignorance, and therefore an inducement to fill in the blanks with knowledge.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sat Dec 9th, 2006 at 10:02:35 AM EST
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