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The paper you cited has a thesis it wants to prove: computerization eliminated many middle level (middle class) jobs. This drop in demand caused the sag in wage growth for this sector. They do not prove a causal relationship, however.

I think a stronger case for the decline in wage growth for the typical blue- and white-collar worker can be made by tracking the loss of organized labor as a power center in the US. The evidence for this is more striking when similar job categories in western Europe are compared with those in the US. The European workers did better over the period. Presumably the efficiencies of computerization should have affected the US and Europe similarly.

Perhaps someone can supplement BTowers ongoing series about US wage growth with similar stats from Europe to round out the picture.


Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Sat Feb 11th, 2006 at 02:04:04 PM EST
I respectfully disagree, in that the unionized jobs are just disappearing through offshoring etc.,  WHat little replacement there's been has been in lower level service jobs.  See Jobs in America Vol. III posted today, and a preview from Vol. IV below.

by btower on Sat Feb 11th, 2006 at 05:43:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sorry, the bottom chart is average weekly wages by sector.
by btower on Sat Feb 11th, 2006 at 05:45:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BT: I'm not sure what you are disagreeing with?
Are you saying that wages in the unionized manufacturing sector stagnated about the same amount as in the non-unionized services sector? This doesn't prove anything one way or the other.

With a stronger union movement there might have been controls put on how much labor could be shifted off shore. There might have been tariffs put on imports. There might have been public works projects established to employ displaced workers. I'm not saying that these are good or bad ideas, just that with organized labor having no clout they weren't even discussed.

Another point is that organized labor only has to be about 30% of the work force for it to create a positive influence for all workers. Non-unionized companies need to be roughly competitive or they won't attract workers. Notice also that in the few service areas where unions have succeeded they have improved the working conditions for the sector. Some recent examples: janitors, home health care workers, and hotel employees.

I belong to the school of though that says "might makes might". There are three factions in an economy: government, business and labor. If one is noticeably weaker than the others its interests will get short changed. That's what has happened to labor in the US in the past 30 years and appears to be happening in Europe now as well.


Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 09:47:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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