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Actually, there is nothing wrong in theory with price spikes like these:

  • they don't apply to large volumes, so the absolute amounts of money involved are not so big even if the headlines are spectacular;

  • they are required in a market setting to make peakers - i.e. power plants that function only when there is a lot of demand - profitable. As they produce a lot fewer kWh than base load plants, they need higher prices per unit to make it worthwhile. It's a pretty risky business, but it is possible to build a business plan on it.

What goes wrong is the following:

  • "liberalisers" that do not have the courage to apply their ideology to the end, and liberalise the wholesale market while keeping caps on retail prices (final users are thus artificially protected form higher prices - one wonders why if the goal is efficiency and good allocation of resources; surely high prices would be a signale to end users to consume less, right). That's what happened in California, and the utilities got squeezed between higher wholesale prices and fixed retail prices, and lost tons of money;

  • market transparency and liquidity becomes essential, and anti-competitive behavior by traders or others must be fought. But that's pretty hard to do against determined cheaters;

  • as a side note to the above, the requirement to have enough spare capacity, a vital need of the system, should be imposed on all players. The UK electricity market is much better in that respect in that it imposes fair balancing and spinning reserves costs to all, thus making it an even playing field and a well regulated system. Traders are penalised in such a system, but that's how it should be because otherwise they'll just free-ride on the spare capacity provided by others.

  • on a long term view, the way new entrants are allowed in is an essential part of the regulatory framework (can they get permits easily, is there a NIMBY syndrome that protects existing players, are they allwoed to sign long term supply and sale contracts to secure financings...

All of this shows that deregulated markets are possible, but are much harder to design than most people say, and politicians have rarely gotten it right, ans sometimes spectacularly wrong.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Tue Mar 14th, 2006 at 11:59:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
market transparency and liquidity becomes essential, and anti-competitive behavior by traders or others must be fought. But that's pretty hard to do against determined cheaters;

Meaning you have to be very, very heavy handed with people who have a lot of money and influence, which is a recipe for corruption and influence disasters in a liberal democracy.

If heavy handed need be, rather be heavy handed with the real task at hand, producing and managing energy.

I'm not a socialist by any mean and I believe than markets work ... most of the time. But for certain things, it doesn't - exhibit A is health care insurance (as opposed to supplying health care itself, where a large private sector can be accomodated as proven by France). IMHO, energy is exhibit B.

Facts, selfish little bastards. They don't even care about your feelings.
by Francois in Paris on Tue Mar 14th, 2006 at 12:26:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
based on a number of years in the energy markets, I'd say they mostly work to satisfy the needs of the strongest players.  Consumers are disorganized and therefore terribly weak.
by HiD on Tue Mar 14th, 2006 at 06:43:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]
on all points.

PUC regulation is like democracy...  The worst possible system except for all the rest.

by HiD on Tue Mar 14th, 2006 at 06:41:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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