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The big worry is that this brings a full year of disorder, which could paly into Le Pen's hands.

Where is FN in the polls now?

(By the way, any good link to a French poll-summarizing site, one like pollingreport.com for the USA?)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 05:43:23 PM EST
The group that does a lot of the polls that are published in French papers is TNS-SOFRES. Their web site has a section on politics and elections (2nd left hand menu item) under which you can find polls about political candidates and parities as well as polls on policy issues etc... The FN political party polls are in the political party section: http://www.php.sofres.com/cote3 . So far this year (2006) 10 to 11% of poll respondents had a favourable opinion of the FN and 79 to 80 had a negative opinion of the FN.
by Alexandra in WMass (alexandra_wmass[a|t]yahoo[d|o|t]fr) on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 06:13:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Le Pen cartoon bounce: back to 14-15% from 10%. What you linked for parties is apparently favorable opinion, not voter intention - funny enough that it is still below that of Le Pen's.

Their current poll, asking about "important role to play" rather than sympathy, has Villepin 36% (-7%), Sarko 44% (-8%). And Laguiller 23%.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 06:54:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Le Pen cartoon bounce

I'm outta my mind, confusing timelines. It was a 'riots' bounce actually, and the cartoons had no noticeable effect (but maybe the cartoons headed off a post-'riots' slump in le Pen's numbers).

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Mar 17th, 2006 at 04:32:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Here's the monthly poll from Journal du Dimanche (with IFOP).

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 06:15:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Here's the full report from IFOP for March. In French with tables towards the end of the report.
by Alexandra in WMass (alexandra_wmass[a|t]yahoo[d|o|t]fr) on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 06:19:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
26% of leftists would take Sarko above Jospin? What kind of idiots are that?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 06:25:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hee Hee => see here  ;)
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Mar 17th, 2006 at 01:28:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Hehehehe... I see I'll have to double-check what I'd say to prevent another big fight on ET :-)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Fri Mar 17th, 2006 at 04:29:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
IFOP?

Probably only Izzy will understand why my first thought was "International Family of Pancakes."

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 06:33:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ahahahaha!  Thanks for the laugh!  :-)

Maybe we can eventually make language a complete impediment to understanding. -Hobbes
by Izzy (izzy at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 06:55:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Some to me startling symphaty numbers:

Arlette Laguiller 58% (+5)
(Wasn't the consensus here that she's sectarian-personal-cultist lunatic-left? And why the significant increase?)

José Bové 54% (+2)
(That's pretty mainstream-approval, too)

Lionel Jospin 51% (-4)
(Why the significant drop?)

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 18 (-1)
(Who's this guy 'outdoing' the Le Pens?)

As for Villepin and Sarko, in this poll, Sarko is unchaged at 56% but Villepin crashed 11% to 51%...

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 06:35:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Arlette Laguiller: she represents a sectarian, secretive Trotskyist party called Lutte Ouvrière. But she's a popular figure in France. She has been a candidate at every presidential since 1974. Her image is: she used to be a bank clerk, she's a nice, ordinary, reassuring working-to-lower-middle-class Frenchwoman who may well still drive around in a Deux Chevaux or on a moped.

José Bové is another very popular leftie. His stand on food quality speaks to (many) French hearts. If the main parties had people of the charisma and capabilities of Bové instead of the horror show they've actually got, they'd clean up.

Mélenchon (not to be confused with Melanchthon ;)) is on the left of the PS, a main figure in the "non" movement with Fabius.

The changes in sympathy, I don't know, except that, at the moment with a social movement under way, the main parties lose points that the fringes pick up (? conjecture).

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Mar 17th, 2006 at 01:52:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Mélenchon (not to be confused with Melanchthon ;)) is on the left of the PS, a main figure in the "non" movement with Fabius.

And why is he so strongly unpopular?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Mar 17th, 2006 at 04:30:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
He's a second-stringer. Little face or name recognition.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Mar 17th, 2006 at 09:24:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Laguiller is batshit crazy, but she is seen as consistent and honest (although I doubt most people really know what's in her programme)

She was also made popular by her puppet in Les Guignols de l'Info, the popular satirical show (which was extremely influential in the mid-90s), which focused on her tireless, selfless, campaigning for "workers" ("travailleurs, travailleuses").

She was elected to the European Parliament in 1999, and her group ended up killing a law that would have improved workers' rights. The argument was that anythign that improves workers' right is a balm that needlessly delays revolution. Really.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Fri Mar 17th, 2006 at 10:31:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Her's a poll form JDD back in Janaury on the CPE (the question was: will the CPE  (i) increase precarity or (ii) reduce youth unemployment)

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Mar 16th, 2006 at 06:18:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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