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The senate is a tie. this means that the reuslt goes down to each region. It will all depend ont he last vote, on the last precinct.

The left-wing parties close to 3% must cross it otherwise we ahve lsot the senate.

Regarding the camer: It is bascially won by the coalition that gets more votes. this is why the total senate results is important. It is an excellent guide to which party will get the camera.

Right now, Prodi lead by by 100 kvotes with 11 million ovtes to count.

It looks really bad right now.

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Mon Apr 10th, 2006 at 03:16:52 PM EST
Aaargh.

I so very, very much want to get rid of Mr. Coglioni.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Mon Apr 10th, 2006 at 03:21:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Prodi has no lead.

It is a complete tie with 10 million votes to go.

Senate is probably lost... if we lost the total count of votes we lose the camera and no new election will be needed. Berlusconi would have won

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Mon Apr 10th, 2006 at 03:23:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Is there any reason Prodi's lead has shrunk throughout the night? Is it the way each region is reporting the results? Do conservative areas report later? It just seems so odd to me, because it is exactly what we see here in the States.

Mikhail from SF
by Tsarrio (dj_tsar@yahoo.com) on Mon Apr 10th, 2006 at 03:28:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, southern and northern conservatites regions have reported late all night. They are catching up.. I am afraid they are still slightly behind. We can lose big time.

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Mon Apr 10th, 2006 at 03:30:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Things are different.

 Prodi will get more seats in the Senate than are assigned by the bonus rule applicable to the "favorite party coalition", because his coalition scored a higher percentage in Tuscany and Emilia-Romagna (more than 60%), which by far out-doe the number of administravely distributed extra seats.

In Süd Tirol the bonus rule does not apply at all. Prodi will not have to share the seats with Berlusconi. There the "winner takes it all" rule applies.

The journalists and 'pundits' didn't do their homework.

Coglioni.

"The USA appears destined by fate to plague America with misery in the name of liberty." Simon Bolivar, Caracas, 1819

by Ritter on Mon Apr 10th, 2006 at 03:37:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I used to think that the Irish PR system was an entertaining evening's statistical nightmare, but this makes us look like amateurs.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Mon Apr 10th, 2006 at 03:39:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But the rule of the regional 3% makes the number of Prodi heavily down if I am not mistaken. These parties would need to get some extra votes that I do not see.

Indeed Prodi does not need the 200 kvotes to get the Senate itself, small parties in his coalition need much more less, but if you count the ratio among parties it will give you this number, roughly, for the total coalition so that the small parties cross the 3%.

Please, if I am mistaken, tell me. I will have to make a comment on my comment down about Prodi losing the senate.

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Mon Apr 10th, 2006 at 03:48:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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