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I agree with your assessment of Blair, but I cannot see Putin getting into bed with Ahmadinejad nor how Russia can play a useful role in the negotiations with Iran.

I think it is a misconception to think that peace can be achieved through trade. Nations trade with each other in the hopes of making money. If a nation has aggressive ambitions, it will use the money it makes to fund those ambitions. Trading relationships are never enough to restrain it from aggressively pursuing its ambitions. As Konrad Adenauer said: "Trade is trade."


"When men yield up the privilege of thinking, the last shadow of liberty quits the horizon." Thomas Paine

by Noel Guinane (noel at bloodandtreasure.com) on Sun Apr 30th, 2006 at 05:07:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I am definitely not saying that peace can be achieved through trade. What I am saying is that if we alienate Russia on the gas side for stupid reasons, we may pay it in the form of less cooperation on the nuclear file. They don't care about Iran per se; they do care how they can use the leverage they have there for other gains with the west, or conversely to punish the West for other aggression by withholding such leverage.

It's all about tradeoffs, and we're adding to the negaotve ledge for Russia - for what I see as totalyl stupid and needless reasons, as Russia has no need and no reason to go in a gas war with their only client.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Apr 30th, 2006 at 05:44:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I agree that it does not make sense to antagonize Russia, but am curious to know what cooperation Russia can provide when it comes to Iran and the nuclear file. Do you mean it could tell what weapons or parts of weapons Russian states have in the past clandestinely sold to Iran? Or that it could turn around and to spite the West suddenly sell it weapons grade uranium, running the risk that an Iranian nuclear or dirty bomb would be used against them, perhaps by Chechnyan terrorists?

I'd like a peaceful resolution to Iran and would like to know more about the leverage Russia has here.

"When men yield up the privilege of thinking, the last shadow of liberty quits the horizon." Thomas Paine

by Noel Guinane (noel at bloodandtreasure.com) on Sun Apr 30th, 2006 at 06:37:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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