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To some extent, you are right. But note that Venezuela and Iran have always been the two most hawkish members of OPEC, pushing for higher prices.

At this point, a hard $50 floor would have value for the producers - it guarantees them a minimum (and already pretty high) level of income, and thus predictability in their budget, which would allow them to make nice promises to their population and actually fulfill them. And guaranteeing a floor does not precluse higher prices.

And of course, Chavez is making this offer safe in the knowledge that it will never be accepted by the West, so his "generosity" costs him nothing.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Tue Apr 4th, 2006 at 08:34:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So, this has no effect on peak oil, correct?  Just who makes the most money during the race to the bottom?
by raincat100 on Tue Apr 4th, 2006 at 11:48:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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