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When we say "nuke," what exactly are we talking about here?  Don't get the wrong idea, I'm solidly against any form of U.S. military action against Iran.  But using the mushroom cloud ... well, you can understand why I'd question the validity of such imagery.

I know very little about bombs.  We're obviously not talking about Hiroshima-type bombing.  Are we?  Not that I think smaller bombs are somehow more acceptable.  But shouldn't the whole fucking entire world be up in arms about the suggestion of anyone "nuking" anyone else?  

Oh, and on topic.  I might be calous, but to all of you non-Americans out there:  Yeah, we ARE a rogue nuclear state.  What are you going to do about it?

Not a rhetorical question.  

Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. -Voltaire

by p------- on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 12:01:44 PM EST
But using the mushroom cloud ... well, you can understand why I'd question the validity of such imagery.

The piece is not specifically about Iran.

What are we going to do? Wring our hands, as usual.

The world's northernmost desert wind.

by Sirocco (sirocco2005ATgmail.com) on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 12:16:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
http://ue.eu.int/cms3_fo/showPage.ASP?id=266&lang=EN&mode=g

http://ue.eu.int/cms3_fo/showPage.asp?id=874&lang=EN&mode=g

"The USA appears destined by fate to plague America with misery in the name of liberty." Simon Bolivar, Caracas, 1819

by Ritter on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 02:47:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Secure Europe in a Better World is an astonishing compendium of common sense, hard nosed analysis, and practical idealism in a mere 16 pages.  

Thank you, Ritter, for sharing this.

by ATinNM on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 03:12:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The nukes we have today are far more powerful than those used on Japan -- almost unimaginably so, as I understand it.  I thought McNamara covered that in a book he wrote several years ago, Wilson's Ghost.  I may not be remembering it correctly, since I read it (very quickly) for an international relations term paper during my junior year.

McNamara has been pounding the table on arms reduction for a long time.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 12:37:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Not really.

The Hiroshima bomb was 20 Kt. During the 50's and 60's massive hydrogen bombs were built, with an explosive power of several Mt's. Biggest was the Soviet "Tsar bomba" of 50 Mt.

During the 70's and 80's the precision of the weapons increased and the warheads were downsized to a few hundred Kt's.

In paralell we had the tactical weapons which were always relatively small, from the sub-kiloton range to a few hundred kilotons.

The smallest nuclear weapon ever built was the wonderfully cute American Davy Crocket which could be mounted on a jeep or on a tripod launcher. It had a variable yield. The minimum yield was 10-20 tons. For a comparison, the biggest non-nuclear bomb in the world, the American MOAB, has a 12 ton yield.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 12:50:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The photo shows some Belgian activists trying to do a "citizens inspection" on a military base (Kleine Brogel) where the US stores some nuclear bombs for the F-16's.
I was several times  in jail.......well lot's of story's to tell, but we are doing something.




The struggle of man against tyranny is the struggle of memory against forgetting.(Kundera)

by Elco B (elcob at scarlet dot be) on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 12:45:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Elco B (elcob at scarlet dot be) on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 12:54:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Likely we are talking about the B61-11, or maybe some secretly developed Robust Nuclear Earth Penetrator.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 12:57:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Rather grim background info with graphs here:

Nuclear Warfare

There are also some comments on the other thread.

The huge problem really is the fall-out. It's unavoidable even for relatively low yields. And it isn't going to respect national boundaries.

Still Jack Straw says it's not going to happen. So we can all sleeply soundly now.

But then he also thinks there's no civil war in Iraq.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 04:44:20 PM EST
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It's not a stupid question.

Nuclear penetrators are small yield, sub-surface detonated, shock-nuclear weapons.  The delivery system is engineered so the weapon burrows into the ground before exploding.  Thus some of the energy released is passed as a ground shock wave to destroy deeply buried installations.

It is worth noting a sub-surface explosion is the most 'dirty' of all nuclear detonations.

A direct result of this is the release of quantities of alpha and beta particles into the atmosphere, Chernobyl-on-purpose.  The force of the explosion will force some percentage of these radioactive particles high into the atmosphere where they will rain down upon the earth (lucky us) for weeks, months, or decades.  The uncertainty stems from the yield, how deep the bomb goes before exploding, and so on.  In general, the more secure the target, the deeper it is buried, requiring a higher yield, deeper penetration, greater production - if that's the word I want - of radioactive particles, and the longer the persistence of these particles.

Persistence also depends on the chemical composition of the ground and sub-ground of the target.  I no expertise in this, Migeru, DoDo, kcurie, and the other physicists here are your people to go to for that.  What I do know is there would be some large-ish area requiring de-contamination.

De-contamination requires vast quantities of water, unavailable in large parts of the world, and a place to store vast quantities of slightly radioactive water, unavailable in any part of the world.

A further uncertainity is the number of targets that would be hit and whether the affects and effects of multiple targets are linear or non-linear.  I haven't a clue and I don't know if anyone else does either.

by ATinNM on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 01:31:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thank you for the response.  

I'm going to have to disagree with Jerome on this. I'd rather read by candlelight, bike to work, and communicate by pony express than live with this nuclear technolgy.  The cons just do not outweigh the pros for me.

Unfortunately, what is done is done...

Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. -Voltaire

by p------- on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 03:55:30 PM EST
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The uncertainty stems from the yield, how deep the bomb goes before exploding, and so on.  In general, the more secure the target, the deeper it is buried, requiring a higher yield, deeper penetration, greater production - if that's the word I want - of radioactive particles, and the longer the persistence of these particles.

I agree with you on "yield" but I would caution you on the option of "deeper penetration". Simple physics tells us that we can´t "plan for" or "arrange" for deeper penetration.

Assuming the same material and bomb structure, the only way you can penetrate deeper is a higher velocity of the bomb. That of course will place a higher stress on the bomb equipment. Meaning that you run the risk that a part of the equipment might malfunction or - in a worst case - the bomb will simply break up.

Meaning that for a target buried deeper, you would have to use a higher yield nuclear bomb. Which will of course mean a much higher level of radioactive contamination above ground. :(

From what I´ve read on the Internet, all current American nuclear bunker busters rely on gravity to accelerate. Meaning that they don´t have a rocket engine, you simply release them from a high flying airplane and rely on gravity to build up velocity.
There´s no way that such a bomb could bury deep enough and not release radioactive contamination even at low yields.

by Detlef (Detlef1961_at_yahoo_dot_de) on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 04:48:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
First falling objects reach what is called terminal velocity which is determined by wind resistance. Dropping from a higher point won't affect the speed when the object hits the ground.

Second I'm guessing that bunker busters and the like have several stages. The first probably blows a hole into the ground so that the main part of the bomb can penetrate further. It is also possible it just could sit there and drill down. Who is going to stop it?

Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 06:03:33 PM EST
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Oops.  I should have read the whole sub-thread before commenting.
by ATinNM on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 09:43:26 PM EST
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There was talk of using a two-stage weapon, at one point.  The first creating a hole in the ground into which the second could plunge.  Personally I think that is completely daft but, then, one has to be daft to use these explictives deleted things.

I never intended to leave the impression you could bury the weapon such that no radiation would escape into the atmosphere.  As you say, that can't happen.  

by ATinNM on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 09:41:36 PM EST
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Oh, and on topic.  I might be calous, but to all of you non-Americans out there:  Yeah, we ARE a rogue nuclear state.  What are you going to do about it?

I´m not sure...

But if the Bush administration actually attacks Iran with nuclear bunker busters without really, really solid evidence of an Iranian nuclear bomb program and evidence of an imminent threat, I´m not sure if the NATO alliance would survive.
(And yes, I do know that such evidence doesn´t exist right now.)

Obviously, European governments could be against the Iraq war while still supporting US armed forces.
See Germany for example. :)

The first-use of nuclear weapons, even small ones, however would cross a line. I can´t speak about other European countries but I would expect a total freeze of military cooperation in Germany. The public here is already pretty much anti-Bush. Now imagine media reports about American nuclear bombs, even small ones,  detonating in Iran. It would be political suicide for any German government to be even remotely connected to such an act.

So - in such a case - forget free use of German air space (Ramstein air base and Landstuhl hospital) and free movement of troops and equipment.

by Detlef (Detlef1961_at_yahoo_dot_de) on Sun Apr 9th, 2006 at 05:29:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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