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The only reason I'm lukewarm about the idea is that I'm pretty confident our governments are cooking the inflation statistics. But at least if the going gets rough and the government decides to inflate their way out of the mess, your investment is protected. Now, is it?

guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed May 3rd, 2006 at 07:37:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, they are doing their best to keep energy and housing out of the inflation statistics in various places.

So, I guess it depends on how much energy and housing matter to you... ;-)

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Wed May 3rd, 2006 at 07:39:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Even beyond that, they are cooking the books.

But help me out here. Property values have been going up by about 10% per year for a few years now [I just happened to deduce from the council tax booklet I got from the borough the alleged 1991 value of the property I rent, and compared with the current local prices...], so the mortgage payments for a newly blught property have been going up by the same amount (roughly) so rent payments for equivalent properties have also been going up by 10% a year. And about 1/3 of people's after-tax income is taken by housing expenses, so there goes over 3% inflation. Am I wrong?

guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed May 3rd, 2006 at 07:45:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, of course you're not wrong in principle.

But, I would guess that the cooking involves some sleight of hand about the amount of after-tax income spent on housing. That presumably is the key assumption.

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Wed May 3rd, 2006 at 08:49:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There is something definitely not right about assuming that people spend 1/3 of their income on housing and that 1/3 fraction remains constant... Unless people are also downsizing their living quarters to keep their housing expenses within bounds, which is a definite possibility.

guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed May 3rd, 2006 at 08:52:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ah, but surely the downsizing only works properly in the rental sector (and even then there are contract restrictions.) If you are paying back a mortgage, your flexiblity to downsize is limited by the ease of selling your house?
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Wed May 3rd, 2006 at 09:13:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Your mortgage payments are fixed and not affected by inflation (again, to a first approximation).

guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed May 3rd, 2006 at 09:46:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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