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Bankers have been lending recklessly, just to firms in the M&A (mergers and acquisitions) business. I still fail to understand how market share is a relevant measure of anything. Unless you are a monopoly (Microsoft) you still can't set prices independently of the competition, regardless of whether you have 25% or 35% of the market.

I think oil will not go much higher because at these prices it is already starting to put a damper on economic activity. GM and Ford both announced lower sales because of less interest in SUV's. We already discussed the large cash reserves firms now are holding, so it seems they are preparing for a slow down and refraining from new investments.

There should be some canary in the mine that signals the down turn. Perhaps some pseudo-luxury like bottled water or shoes. Seeing a decline in non-essentials could point to the loss in buying power.

Unfortunately I'm not smart enough to figure out what the indicator is, or to know what to do about the coming economic decline. The last one I watched closely (1970's) was bad for all types of investments, stocks and bonds.

Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Tue May 2nd, 2006 at 09:45:30 PM EST
Galbraith. Porter.

Threshold market share allows you to join the oligopolistic competition on "quality" and "marketing" rather than price.

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Wed May 3rd, 2006 at 06:07:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In that connection, seldom are two products equivalent to the extent that only price matters. Ordinary supply-and-demand-curve analysis applies at best to commodity trading, not to general retail.

guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed May 3rd, 2006 at 06:15:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Indeed.

And to pick a nit with myself, this reading of Galbraith/Porter (throw in a few others if desired) is by no means universally accepted as valid or empiracally correct. It is however common currency in a lot of large corporations.

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Wed May 3rd, 2006 at 07:14:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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