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Sarko is sounding to me like a "compassionate neo-liberal," I know he's got Alain Madelin on board and it sounds like Alain Madelin has his ear. Wouldn't doubt the the former Finance Minister gets his old portfolio back in a new majority for Sarko, this time for longer than the like six months he got with Chirac/Juppe. Problem is when presented the real neo-liberal deal (Madelin) France rejects it (Madelin gets maybe 3% of votes when he runs himself). No doubt both pols worry many French voters deeply, liberalism is very much a minority position in France.

Royal otoh will say re-assuring things, talk somewhat vaguely about some of the main issues of the day in a way which indicates she's aware of the importance and content of the issue, but not so much her detailed plan for addressing it. When you see her talk details it will be an issue where there's a general consensus already in France that a problem exists and a general approach to that problem is agreed upon more or less (I'd put energy policy and maybe security in that bucket). She'll stick to vague generalities about some of the more controversial things, like 35 weeks and Europe, and to some she will sound sometimes a bit like her adversaries. Some time though she speaks code to lefties so we know she's one of us, like when she said the other day she was "not just a lefty but also a socialist".

She's going to crush Sarko.

Fai de bèn a Bertrand, te lou rendra en cagant

by redstar on Sun Jun 25th, 2006 at 08:18:24 AM EST
The big thing this summer will be expulsion of "illegal" families with children formerly in school. This might be a turning point for popularity.
by Laurent GUERBY on Sun Jun 25th, 2006 at 10:51:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
BTW, do you have a reference for the connection with Alain Madelin?
by Laurent GUERBY on Mon Jun 26th, 2006 at 03:59:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Only circumstantial. It is well known that Madelin backs Sarkozy:
http://www.humanite.presse.fr/popup_print.php3?id_article=449649

and if memory serves, they worked together in '04 for the European legislatives.

As for whether Madelin has Sarko's specific ear? No, I don't have anything but a hunch. But I do note a development of Sarko's themes which sound more and more like Madelin's (eg the stock-option talk he was giving the other day).

Fai de bèn a Bertrand, te lou rendra en cagant

by redstar on Mon Jun 26th, 2006 at 06:06:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
As I note below, the talk the other day was inspired (so says the Observer article cited in the diary) by Sarko's recent conversation with Tony Blair.

It's surely true that Sarko makes himself out to be part of the "liberal" segment of the French right that Madelin is a noted member of, and they may have (or perhaps will have) some understanding about Madelin's return to ministerial office if Sarko wins the presidential. But Madelin is so ineffably stupid, and long ago wore out whatever positive image he might once have had in public opinion, that I really can't get scared about the prospect of his return. I take Sarkozy for too smart a politician to lumber himself seriously or long-term with such a dummy.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Jun 27th, 2006 at 02:17:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It's not that Madelin is dangerous, it's that his economics are, and under Sarkozy's tutelage, that's what you're going to see.

Madelin is, politically speaking, an idiot to be sure, but Sarko is far from it.

My guess is you'll start seeing sub rosa connections made; I wouldn't be surprised if the PS starts making the same sorts of insinuations lefter shades have been making in this regard. In fact, I bet Hollande's been polling and/or focus-grouping on this already.

And now to something entirely more important, the game.

Fai de bèn a Bertrand, te lou rendra en cagant

by redstar on Tue Jun 27th, 2006 at 02:59:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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