9 Gl
Add that to the 164 Gl of petrol and you get 173 Gl of E6 (9 Gl is 5.78% of 173 Gl), with a 170 Gl petrol energy equivalent. Therefore: the entire beet, maize, wheat and barley spare production (given export figures) would be just about sufficient to reach the 5.75% target of biofuel market share, and that's only on the petrol/ethanol side. We don't have figires for biodiesel but it seems that unless cooking (and maybe motor) oil is recycled massively, the target won't be reached on that side either.
So, change my input to say that the 2003 targets (5.75% market share) is not realistic unless a substantial amount of ethanol feedstock is diverted away from animal feed and into biofuels. Importing biofuel feedstocks or ethanol does not improve energy security.
The chickens are coming home to roost: it is not only the end of cheap energy, but of cheap meat. Nothing is 'mere'. — Richard P. Feynman
But this is part of a broader transportation energy policy and beyond the scope of this consultation. Nothing is 'mere'. — Richard P. Feynman
Starting with aircraft fuel, and agricultural (with incentives to switch to home-grown biodiesel, no tax on that).
if all surpluses are transformed into ethanol.
By 2010? I don't think it will happen.
After that, where is the growth potential? Only, as you say, in transforming one cheap-energy glut consumption into another. You'll get to drive your car to the supermarket only to find no cheap chicken or vast rows of yoghourt.
Either that, or unsustainable farming methods, or massive food imports.
I haven't got a number for sugar pulp (by-product) use in animal feed. No time to get one now.
The main thing is animal feed is the principal use of maize and barley, and common wheat for about half.
Now isn't that interesting?
I think the EU agricultural sector is in for a shakeup. Nothing is 'mere'. — Richard P. Feynman
The sound bite: "to reach energy security: let's stop eating meat"
(I still have that example from somewhere - but I don't know if it's true - that you actually use more oil going somewhere by bike than by car if you have eaten meat only, because so many oil calories are needed to get a calorie in your food (7 to 1 or something) In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
Sunflower seed has 109% self-sufficiency.
Not much room for an increase without greatly increasing area. Replacing what?