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I am going to a lecture by ASPO chairman Kjell Aleklett tonight. I'll ask him what he thinks of Great Depression and big wars.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Mon Sep 4th, 2006 at 09:03:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, that was interesting. On the subject of Great Depression big wars thing, well, if no one does anything about things right now...

Some other interesting things. According to people who should know what they are talking about, Saudi capacity should be able to reach 11,5-12 mbd and stay there for quite a while. A few decades, 30 years maybe. Not that it matters much as we'll need to find and produce another 10 Saudi Arabias in 2025 if the IEA people are going to get all the oil they want. Except that maintaining the house of Saud will be increasingly important. But you already knew that.

And the other very interesting little bit of information I can't tell you, but I can give you a clue: http://www.eurotrib.com/story/2006/6/22/192723/959
Just change places between the E and the I.

And I recruited myself to his campaign to be elected to parliament.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Mon Sep 4th, 2006 at 03:35:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
On the subject of Great Depression  big wars thing, well, if no one does anything about things right now...

And how long of a window of opportunity is "right now", exactly?

What does it take to get elected to parliament in Sweden? Is he trying to get a party nomination? Run as an independent? Register ASPO as a political party?

Nothing is 'mere'. — Richard P. Feynman

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Sep 4th, 2006 at 03:46:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No, he is running as a candidate for the Liberal People's Party, a center-right party. He already has party nomination. He is number six on the Uppsala liberal party list. But only number one and maybe number two will get into parliament.

But!

It is possible to get elected anyway if something like 2000-2500 people who live in Uppsala and vote for the liberals marks his name on their voting card. The Liberal party got a record 20.000 votes in the 2002 election in Uppsala, 18,6 % of the total. This was because they stole lots of votes from the Moderate party (liberal-conservative). The Moderates are sure to regain many of those votes, and the liberals will get maybe 10.000-15.000 votes in Uppsala. And Kjell need something like 2000-2500 of those.

http://folkpartiet.se/FPTemplates/PersonalPage____45511.aspx

This is what Swedish voting cards (or what is it called in English?) look like, though it is from 2002, from another city and another party, and for the kommun ("county"), not for parliament:

It's pretty unlikely he gets into parliament as he doesn't have enough time to run a campaign - he is constantly travelling and lecturing abroad when he isn't swamped by calls from top corporate CEO's and high ranking international energy officials. It seems the entire Swedish corporate world is peak oil aware because of his work.

By the way, he told me a funny thing. When ASPO was formed, there was no such thing as "peak oil". It was called "oil peak". But ASOP didn't sound right so they called it ASPO and peak oil. And since then that has been what is has been called.

And it's on the BBC today: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/5305950.stm

And in BBC radio as well. Kjell said he was part of that program, right in the end.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio4/drivenbyoil/

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Mon Sep 4th, 2006 at 04:48:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And election is September 17, in two weeks.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Mon Sep 4th, 2006 at 04:49:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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