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The threats (such as those minor ones of Peak Oil and Global Warming, but also Peak Natural Gas / Plastics in the Ocean / etc, along with population growth) are extremely serious and could mitigate against any planning for 2050.  

But, there is a question as to how to frame/construct a discussion to attempt to get (accelerate) movement toward serious change.

The "doom" scenario I can write/discuss (what drives me to work on Energize America, etc).  But, the "doom" (or even reality?) scenario does not capture everyone.  

And, well, once you get 'doubters' to consider the threats as possible, what do you get them to do?  Not everyone is ready to go 'dark green' overnight, in one fell swoop.

Blogging regularly at Get Energy Smart. NOW!!!

by a siegel (siegeadATgmailIGNORETHISdotPLEASEcom) on Wed Oct 3rd, 2007 at 06:33:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I believe I found Devilstower's diary.  A back of the envelope calculation shows how much difference these steps would have made. ~1/3 of all CO2 emissions come from transportation, if fuel economy was conservatively 3 times what it is today, we would emit ~20% less CO2 than we are emitting now. This may have given us a shot at avoiding a 2 degre C warming by the end of this century, and we would have accomplished 1/4 of the emissions reduction necessary by 2080.
by Fete des fous on Wed Oct 3rd, 2007 at 01:59:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
oops, it'll be obvious my response was meant to asiegel responding to Fdf.
by Fete des fous on Wed Oct 3rd, 2007 at 02:01:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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