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If you want to capture a complicated story, you need more numbers, not just different ones.

The "Beyond GDP" website FAQ mentions this approach, albeit very briefly:

Beyond GDP - International Conference - 19 & 20 November 2007, Brussels

Indicator sets (e.g. those comprised of environmental, economic and social indicators) are yet another way of complementing the single use of GDP. A recently started effort - the Canadian Index of Well-being - is under development in Canada.

The Canadian Index of Well-being's Contribution to Beyond GDP "Virtual Indicator Expo" (PDF) states that:

The CIW will track changes in eight quality-of-life domains.

These are:

     Living Standards
     Healthy Populations
     Educated Populace
     Vital Communities
     Ecosystem Health
     Civic Engagement
     Time Use
     Arts and Culture

In fact, though, there are plenty of "indicator sets" already available, provided for example by the OECD, EuroStat, Worldmapper, and others, many linked to on the "Beyond GDP" website.

The big question is:  Is it easier to persuade everyone to do away with a single indicator altogether for measuring the overall health of a society, or is it easier to come up a composite index (i.e. a single number) that while not perfect at least takes into consideration a far broader and more pertinent set of factors than the unidimensional GDP we have now?

(Actually, even the Canadian Index of Well-being project hedges a bit in that paper --

The domains will be blended into a composite index that will provide a quick snapshot of
whether overall Canadian wellbeing is changing for better or for worse.
CIW reports will
present detailed information on both the composite index and the individual domains. The
CIW's `basket' of domains will be reported regularly with clarity about trends and interrelated
stories (e.g., "While X is on the rise, it is interesting to note that Y is flat, and Z is declining.
Possible explanations include..."
).

-- no doubt in acknowledgement of the possibility that people will continue to discuss, compare, judge, criticize, rank, etc. in terms of a single number.)

Truth unfolds in time through a communal process.

by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Mon Nov 12th, 2007 at 05:39:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Now the CIW is a pretty good measure, in my opinion, although I'm not sure I buy the "Vital Communities," "Arts and Culture," and "Civic Engagement" variables, since I think that's too much a matter of taste.  The obvious question:  What, exactly, are those measuring?

The "Arts and Culture" variable also at least sounds like it would favor certain places above others, perhaps unfairly.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Nov 12th, 2007 at 10:39:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
although I'm not sure I buy the "Vital Communities," "Arts and Culture," and "Civic Engagement" variables, since I think that's too much a matter of taste.  The obvious question:  What, exactly, are those measuring?

Yeah, there's the rub.

Although a piece in yesterday's New York Times agrees that it's not GDP, nor Happiness, but Leisure and Social Interaction that we should measure -- and try to improve:

The era of laissez-faire happiness might be coming to an end. Some prominent economists and psychologists are looking into ways to measure happiness to draw it into the public policy realm. Thirty years from now, reducing unhappiness could become another target of policy, like cutting poverty. <...>

Happiness seems fairly cheap to manipulate. <...>

A notorious study in 1974 found that despite some 30 years worth of stellar economic growth, Americans were no happier than they were at the end of World War II. A more recent study found that life satisfaction in China declined between 1994 and 2007, a period in which average real incomes grew by 250 percent.

Happiness, it appears, adapts. It's true that the rich are happier, on average, than the poor. But while money boosts happiness, the effect doesn't last. We just become envious of a new, richer set of people than before. Satisfaction soon settles back to its prior level, as we adapt to changed circumstances and set our expectations to a higher level.

<...>

Despite happiness' apparently Sisyphean nature, there may be ways to increase satisfaction over the long term. While the extra happiness derived from a raise or a winning lottery ticket might be fleeting, studies have found that the happiness people derive from free time or social interaction is less susceptible to comparisons with other people around them. Nonmonetary rewards -- like more vacations, or more time with friends or family -- are likely to produce more lasting changes in satisfaction.

<...>

More broadly, if the object of public policy is to maximize society's well-being, more attention should be placed on fostering social interactions and less on accumulating wealth. If growing incomes are not increasing happiness, perhaps we should tax incomes more to force us to devote less time and energy to the endeavor and focus instead on the more satisfying pursuit of leisure.

All They Are Saying is Give Happiness a Chance

If so, it would suggest that the CIW is at least on the right track with its "Vital Communities" and "Time Use" categories, despite the challenges od measuring those that you point out.

Truth unfolds in time through a communal process.

by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Mon Nov 12th, 2007 at 04:09:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, that CIW looks interesting. The thing that bothers me on this conference is the heavy political influence in it, with half of the organizing committee being EU politicians.

I understand that a single indicator can be useful, if only for communication purposes. However, any composite index will need many choices about what to include and how to wheigh them. And given that there is no more or less "natural" choice for these weights (as opposed to for example the weights used in stock market indices),
it is going to be vulnerable to tuning to get desirable answers.

To put it bluntly, I can't imagine the EU developing an index on which it (or at least its richer parts) score below the US, nor one on which Germany and France differ substantially from each other, or score below the UK. In fact, I don't think the UK will adopt any measure developed  by the EU, no matter how well it scores on it. Basically, if the EU as organization is involved in its development, no matter how good the measure is, it will be a bit suspect

I think it would be much safer if separate people, countries and organizations develop their own measures for their own purposes, much like the CIW you mention. Then, after these have been tested and fine-tuned we can compare them, see how they correlate and scale to different countries and situations. After that, the politicians can come in and pick one that works as they would like it. Let them pick a car but not design the engine.

Perhaps I am mistaken, but this conference seems to be about a much earlier stage in the development. It would be wise to let them explain what they would like to see in an index, but please let independent people develop the details.

by GreatZamfir on Mon Nov 12th, 2007 at 10:44:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Pieter Everaers: European Commission, Eurostat
Enrico Giovannini: OECD
Hazel Henderson: Club of Rome
Andreas Huber: European Parliament
Tony Long: WWF
Robin Miège: European Commission, DG Environment

I see only one politician.* Being in the eurostat service or the DG environment does not make you a politician.

*Actually, not one. I looked up Andreas Huber, and he's head of the environment committee secretariat of the EP, not a Member of Parliament himself.

These are all civil servants.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Mon Nov 12th, 2007 at 01:10:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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