game is not done.
a fun scenario would be to see a Coalition victory but with Howard losing his own seat and thus not be able to stay PM.
However the ALP has had a run of disappointments in the last few elections, so just like the British Labour Party in 1997, the ALP cannot quite believe that they will achieve a landslide. Thus quite minor shifts in opinion polls (which as far as I can see are meaningless fluctuations within the margin of error), lead to panicy fears that things will not turn out as good as was hoped.
