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Nice round-up Jérôme. The dollar meltdown and the rise in oil prices have been a single event all along. The same happened I 1973 during the OPEC embargo, not only oil prices shot up but also other commodities (especially food) and foreign currencies.

Why is it so was explained by M. King Hubbert when he addressed the US Congress in 1974: currency supply grows exponentially in tandem with industrial output (made possibly by resource consumption growth).

Once oil production stalled in 2004 it all happened again, resources drawn to the economy eased while paper currency kept flowing. The Fed then engaged on a program of central rates hiking - trying to mimic Paul Vockler's actions in the 1980s. But this time the American folk was so indebted that it only took 5% to burst the housing market and create a credit crisis.

In order to avoid further financial/credit pain the Fed has to keep the money flowing - weakening the currency and inflating commodities.

I wrote about this here.

Vencit omnia veritas.

by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]a[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]gmail[dot]com) on Mon Nov 19th, 2007 at 04:15:05 AM EST
Hmm, I didn't read that diary nearly carefully enough when you posted it in July.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Nov 26th, 2007 at 07:09:54 AM EST
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