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At the moment Britain is doing fine because it's GNP growth (c.2.5%) at least matches that of the Eurozone, and London is competing successfully with New York and Frankfort as one of the major financial capitals of the world.  Indeed Britain is incredibly dependent on the financial services sector to maintain the overall success of its economy.

It follows that should that success be threatened by the fact that the Euro is, however, tentatively, supplanting or supplementing the Dollar as the world's reference currency, you will see a very rapid change of heart on the Euro in Britain.  In fact you won't see the financial services sector for dust as it rushes to embrace the Euro and lambastes the Government for it's tardiness in adopting it.

It seems illogical that a relatively small economy like Britain's should be able to support a leading world financial services center indefinitely especially with all the currency exchange costs and risks involved. Indeed the current financial services melt-down may presage precisely such a shift in the relative importance of Sterling.

But Sterling chauvinism is very deeply embedded in British political culture.  Expect to see the shift to Euros made far too late to protect the formerly preeminent position of London amongst the leading financial centers of the World.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Tue Nov 27th, 2007 at 09:05:31 PM EST
Welcome to ET, Frank. Keep them coming!
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Wed Nov 28th, 2007 at 04:02:11 AM EST
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