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Level 3 assets are those that are so complex, or so remote from the initial underlying assets (because they have sliced, repackaged, resliced, repackaged, and combined with other bits) that there simply is no way to calculate what they are worth, because there is no market for them, and no market for the easily identifable bits. Banks are allowed to give them the value they want - but, and that's the important bit, they are now obliged to tell regulators and the markets how much stuff they have in that category.
What is so ironic about this is that investment banks have spent years hiring "highly numerate" people with knowledge of "vanilla derivatives" (Level 2 assets) to design new "exotic derivatives" that only the originating bank itself will know how to price, for the purpose of selling them to people at a higher value than the in-house models suggest they are worth.

In other words, a scam.

It's somewhat satisfying to see Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs hoisted on their own petard.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Nov 7th, 2007 at 05:57:38 PM EST
It's always been a scam. Books have been written - and ignored - about the scamminess of it. The seedy reality of the business is that these banks have been run on the basis of 'Never give a sucker an even break.'

The banks thought they weren't the noobs at the table. But they've now suckered themselves, and each other. Citi, GS and the rest may well not be around a year from now. And if they are around, they won't look much like they do now.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Nov 7th, 2007 at 06:40:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But, but Morgan Stanley says it's "World Wise"!

All for the better.  It's about time we had a massive shake-up on the big dogs of Wall Street.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Thu Nov 8th, 2007 at 09:27:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It's somewhat satisfying to see Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs hoisted on their own petard.

But if these banks do blow themselves up, what will be the collateral damage to the rest of society?  My impression is that the modern capitalist system is precariously dependent on the "health" of these banks.  Or is that too pessimistic an assessment?

Truth unfolds in time through a communal process.

by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Wed Nov 7th, 2007 at 07:19:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think the impact will be marginal. GS and MS have no deposits, no mortgages, no "retail" banking division.

Citi is another matter entirely.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Nov 7th, 2007 at 07:22:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Certainly a large (albeit a damn sight smaller than it should be) chunk of the currently "healthy" tax  revenues comes from these guys and their staff, simply because they are "people" businesses and don't have quite the same level of deductions and credits that capital intensive "productive" enterprises do.

That is about to go colossally "pear-shaped" as well documented here on ET.

"Any economic unit can emit money. The serious problem is to get it accepted" Hyman Minsky

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Wed Nov 7th, 2007 at 07:25:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
the GS and MS guys (and they are mostly guys) are the 15%ers in the tax code. The productive people actually pay at income tax rates. The financial people pay at capital gains rates, even though they are intermediaries.

paul spencer
by paul spencer (spencerinthegorge AT yahoo DOT com) on Wed Nov 7th, 2007 at 08:00:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The executives are almost undoubtedly in the capital gains group.  The retail workers, along with the lower- and middle-managers, are in the income group.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Fri Nov 9th, 2007 at 10:58:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It's not banks being impacted, though, for the most part.  Citi is being impacted, and that's potentially a big problem, but most of the businesses getting hit are large investment houses on the Street.

If Bank of America, Wachovia, Commerce, and other major residential-type banks fall, then we'll have a serious problem on our hands.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Fri Nov 9th, 2007 at 10:55:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Wachovia does not look in particularly good shape.
Reuters|UPDATE 1-Wachovia, Capital One say credit conditions worsen

EW YORK, Nov 9 (Reuters) - The U.S. credit crisis deepened on Friday as Wachovia Corp reported a $1.1 billion loss on subprime mortgage-related debt in October, while Capital One Financial Corp said more customers are missing payments.

Shares of both companies fell, amid broad declines in financial stocks.

Wachovia (WB.N: Quote, Profile , Research), the fourth-largest U.S. bank said the value of so-called asset-backed collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) it holds fell to $676 million as of Oct. 31 from $1.8 billion on Sept. 30. The $1.1 billion pre-tax loss is in addition to $347 million in the third quarter, Wachovia said.

Charlotte, North Carolina-based Wachovia (WB.N: Quote, Profile , Research) also expects to boost loan losses by $500 million to $600 million this quarter, largely because of "dramatic declines" in housing values. Wachovia paid $24.2 billion last year for Golden West Financial Corp, a big California mortgage lender.

Wachovia joined a growing list of financial companies -- including Citigroup Inc (C.N: Quote, Profile , Research), Merrill Lynch & Co Inc (MER.N: Quote, Profile , Research) and Morgan Stanley (MS.N: Quote, Profile , Research) -- that have reported losses from worsening conditions in consumer credit and capital markets.



Money is a sign of Poverty - Culture Saying
by RogueTrooper on Fri Nov 9th, 2007 at 11:07:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And that's bad, of course, but a little perspective: $1.1bn loss barely qualifies as a small drop in the bucket with the mess we have on our hands.

I should qualify that by saying, again, that I don't know what Wachovia's overall balance sheet looks like.  It may be in deep trouble, and it's certainly going to suffer some losses, but I highly doubt we're going to see anything on the level of the investment houses.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Fri Nov 9th, 2007 at 11:48:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I should qualify that by saying, again, that I don't know what Wachovia's overall balance sheet looks like

from the article...
Wachovia paid $24.2 billion last year for Golden West Financial Corp, a big California mortgage lender.

I would guess, after buying a California mortgage lender at the hight of the bubble suggests that their balance sheet might not be in the best of shape.

Money is a sign of Poverty - Culture Saying
by RogueTrooper on Fri Nov 9th, 2007 at 11:57:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The other way to look at it is to note that they wrote off 2/3 of the value of their portfolio.

which suggests that other banks still have a long way to go to come clean...

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Fri Nov 9th, 2007 at 12:29:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I should qualify that by saying, again, that I don't know what Wachovia's overall balance sheet looks like.  It may be in deep trouble, and it's certainly going to suffer some losses, but I highly doubt we're going to see anything on the level of the investment houses.

The capital underlying Wall Street, at the top, is not all that large - a matter of a few hundred billion. Given the piling of risk upon risk that has been engaged in over the last few years, and the size of the losses in the mortgage market alone that seem probable - my own estimate last spring of $980 billion looks increasingly likely to be somewhat below the final figure - it appears almost inevitable that in a bear market in which liquidity dries up and investors become skeptical, Wall Street's capital will be wiped out. Only the commercial banks like Wachovia and Bank of America whose investment banking ambitions have been largely thwarted and whose portfolios of Level 3 rubbish are correspondingly lower, are less likely to disappear.

Level 3 Storm about to hit Wall Street

But that article was published on November 3.  The news about Wachovia came out on the 9th.

Truth unfolds in time through a communal process.

by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Fri Nov 9th, 2007 at 05:48:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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