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Surely they are just as reliant on fertilizer as anyone, which will increase in price and scarcity right along with oil?

I also disagree with who will suffer first. The developing and third world are more reliant on oil than you might think, and the first world has larger guns, which, for example, is much of the reason why people in the Congo dig for tantalum with their bare hands in mines for a living.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Sun Dec 2nd, 2007 at 12:47:17 AM EST
Lessenow. Horse cart transport usually implies more horses than carts, by some multiple, perhaps 1.5 to 1.
1,250,000 horses is a lot of fertilizer. Add in the night soil, competent crop rotation and your need for Commercial fert might just be pretty small to none.

People in the Congo dig for tantalum by hand because the multinational that is sucking their resources like a vacuum cleaner can get them cheap, and knows it. Cheaper than machinery.

"There is mysterious music in democracy, when people decide to believe in themselves." ---Bill Greider, The Nation.

by geezer in Paris (risico at wanadoo(flypoop)fr) on Sun Dec 2nd, 2007 at 01:09:34 PM EST
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