European Tribune - Comments - The ET US Presidential Primary caucus.

The ET US Presidential Primary caucus. | 141 comments (141 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: The ET US Presidential Primary caucus. (4.00 / 3)

JakeS is the senior statistician here, but I'll give it a shot.

The point of the exercise was to see whether there are statistically significant differences between the US and RotW votes. The way the chips are falling and with 37 votes tallied, the only question one can answer is whether support for Edwards differs. This is because there are only 10 US votes. Come on, people, get out the vote!

The result of the vote so far is:

	US	RotW	Total
Edwards	5	18	23
Other	5	9	14
Total	10	27	37

Assuming no difference between US and RotW support for Edwards, the expected number of votes are

	US	RotW
Edwards	6.2	16.8
Other	3.8	10.2

The chi-square calculation is

	US	RotW
Edwards	0.23	2.3
Other	.38	.141

The total is 3.1 with one degree of freedom, which is significant to 92% which is generally not considered enough. So, sorry, despite the outpouring of support for Edwards in the Rest of the World it cannot be said to be a significant difference.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Dec 27th, 2007 at 05:19:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The ET US Presidential Primary caucus. (none / 1)

We are busy flaming each other on dkos. I was going to vote for a rock star but Jagger is British.

"I said, 'Wait a minute, Chester, You know I'm a peaceful man...'" Robbie Robertson

by NearlyNormal on Thu Dec 27th, 2007 at 09:42:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The ET US Presidential Primary caucus. (4.00 / 2)

Bruce Springsteen?

by Gary J on Thu Dec 27th, 2007 at 01:47:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The ET US Presidential Primary caucus. (none / 1)

Yeah, or John Fogarty, I guess-maybe levon Helm

"I said, 'Wait a minute, Chester, You know I'm a peaceful man...'" Robbie Robertson

by NearlyNormal on Thu Dec 27th, 2007 at 09:34:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The ET US Presidential Primary caucus. | 141 comments (141 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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