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so the analysts are in the same mold, and work the same way (and for the same group of big investment houses) and repeat the same prejudices. Most of the coverage for Europe is done in London in any case, so you have a "purer" version of dogma there thna you'd have in the local capitals...

In their defense, good analysts are really good, and provide really invaluable insights and perspective.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Mar 18th, 2007 at 09:53:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There are good analysts of course, but it's amazing how few "sell" recommendations there were (and for all I know, still are)

"Any economic unit can emit money. The serious problem is to get it accepted" Hyman Minsky
by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Sun Mar 18th, 2007 at 10:36:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Or how surprised the analysts are by Enron, the GM junk bond rating, the housing loan collapse, ....
by citizen k (sansracine yahoo.fr) on Sun Mar 18th, 2007 at 12:47:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
actually the analysts work in a very different way today.  Previously they were hand in glove with the investment bankers, which was a definite conflict of interest.  CEO's could definitely beat up on an analyst who derided the CEO's company, threatening to take his investment banking business to another firm.  Legally that has been changed and it's made an impact.

I've always felt the issue with analysts is that your customers don't value your work--ie., you can't get paid for doing these reports.  There were independent analyst firms in the early '70's, and they had trouble staying in business.  It might be a good time to try that model again--but with so much money to be made in the deal side, investment banking, and all of the financial arbitrage opportunities,,,,,I would imagine good analysts would be tempted to go where the big money is.

Also, imho, analysts just provide a platform for an investor to begin his own evaluation of a company.  One has to do the hard work themselves--no analyst is going to just give you a wonderful way of making millions.  If he had that capability, he would just create a fund and run it and make big money for himself.  Luckily the requirement for transparency in US markets today keeps investors on more of an equal footing,,,,,and the internet has been an incredible evening of the playing field.  I referenced that La Jolla 10K in the diary, and you can get that information as quickly as an analyst.  You can also listen in on the company conference call yourself.  Do your own research on the company's business--in this case a disease called Lupus.  It's not all that difficult to have more knowledge than the analyst,,,,but it takes focus, time, and hard work.  There are no freebies here.

by wchurchill on Sun Mar 18th, 2007 at 01:36:23 PM EST
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