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In which case, it's hopeless.  We've got two groups, minimum, shouting at each other for the next 10 years and energy policy will be decided by whichever group captures the emotions of the largest number of people, at any particular time.

In other words, what we've seen for the past 30 years.

by ATinNM on Thu Mar 29th, 2007 at 11:12:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In which case, it's hopeless.  We've got two groups, minimum, shouting at each other for the next 10 years and energy policy will be decided by whichever group captures the emotions of the largest number of people, at any particular time.

I'm sorry, that's just a description of politics. Nothing specific to nuclear energy.

"It's the statue, man, The Statue."

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Mar 29th, 2007 at 11:19:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Actually, where government is technocratic, energy policy will tend to be pro-nuclear and public opinion anti-nuclear. The reason is that the pro-nuclear position is compatible with the technocratic frame of policymakers. The anti-nuclear side doesn't want to speak the language of cost-benefit analysis while the pro-nuclear does. The anti-nuclear side will then accuse "technocrats" of being "death-wishers" and turn to trying to sway public opinion so nuclear development becomes politically untenable.

Where government is not technocratic, what you describe is the case.

"It's the statue, man, The Statue."

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Mar 29th, 2007 at 11:30:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
French public opinion is not anti-nuclear.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Fri Mar 30th, 2007 at 06:07:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Though not as massively pro-nuclear as Swedish opinion.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Fri Mar 30th, 2007 at 08:14:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think the last one I saw had numbers of something like:

decommision 25%
keep, but not build 40%
build more 35%

But my memory might be playing tricks on me. As it really is two over-lapping questions you end up with a mayority for keep and a mayority for do not build more.

I would call it moderately pro-nuclear.

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!

by A swedish kind of death on Fri Mar 30th, 2007 at 08:29:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Swedes are as far as I know the most pro-nuclear people in the world.

The breakdown is about this:

Build new: 30 %

Keep the old but don't build new: 50 %

Shut down before the reactors are decommisioned because of economic or safety reasons: 10 %

Don't know: 10 %

In the event of even a small energy/climate crisis, or even just a serious proposal to build a new reactor,  I guess at least half of the "keep but don't build new" will switch to "build new".

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Fri Mar 30th, 2007 at 08:37:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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