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Interesting post. I wonder what the problems are that make the market for rail cargo 'work' whereas passenger transportation remains problematic (although a 70% market share for the main enterprise as DoDo pointed out may indicate otherwise, OTOH, it may still be offering a competitive service). I'd guess at the following:

  • There is more 'cross-modal' competition in the cargo market. Goods don't care how they are transported, whereas people may generally prefer sitting in cars, or whatever. Transport by boat, at least, is mostly not a option for them (except when the journey itself is the destination)
  • On the other hand, rail cargo has obvious advantages over other modes of transportation. It is faster than transport by ship, can move greater volumes at once than road or plane, and is cheaper than transport by plane. For people, the volume aspect is not something you can compete on. They generally move alone or in small groups. The only thing you can compete on is price, travel experience and timeliness.

The newly completed dedicated cargo line is not the proudest project in Dutch history. I do think that it might work because the Rhine may tend to dry up in the summer more often due to global warming and gas prices are going up for road transport/the sector will in the future have to deal with an 'lkw maut' in Holland as well.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Wed Apr 11th, 2007 at 06:04:26 PM EST
To emphasize my point about rail cargo not doing so great in other parts of Netherlands+Germany+Denmark:

  1. in the last 2-3 years, Railion conducted a big cull of freight access points (the part in Germany: the "MORA C" plan, Denmark suffered something similar), focusing on keeping only large customers who'd order full-train transports. Some of these have been taken over by privates, some haven't, and at least in Germany, some couldn't be even if privates would have been willing, because DB made access impossible.

  2. In no small part because of this policy, on one hand, Railion reduced losses, on the other hand, overall rail freight volumes got a damper.

  3. The following is a doomed strategy: abandon local access points and count on customers electing to send their cargo to the railway with trucks. Why two more reloadings when the trucks can go all the way? This didn't kept Railion's (integrated-railway) precursors from trying it, resulting in some nice new empty combined transport terminals. (Note: this issue, like most issues for railfreight, is one where decisions on infrastructure and operation are closely interlinked.)

  4. On a broader note, competition introduced a foreseeable, incurable but overseen problem: that of dominant market players (here: Railion) trying to thwart rivals even at the cost of overall rail market share. Another strong example is Railion's practice to send its old locomotives to scrap metal traders, rather than earn much more from selling them to the privates. Thus the privates either have to buy new locos or buy foreign second-hand locos and go through the lengthy and costy process of getting permission to run them on German tracks.

  5. You mention the road toll for lorries, that was a significant help, but apparently not enough.


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Apr 11th, 2007 at 06:34:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The 3rd point, I think, is especially worth noting. This is because the EU's transportation policy has moved from a 'modal shift' policy to a 'cross modality' policy, which might lead to more such nonsense.

On point 4, this policy seems to be silly. Maybe there are psychological motives at work?

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Thu Apr 12th, 2007 at 06:45:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
On the Betuwelijn, it won't start to really work before the German section from the Ruhr area to the Dutch border is upgraded and three-tracked (presently the capacity is just 3 freight trains an hour!), and the Dutch section from the border to the end of the Betuwelijn is converted to German 16.7Hz/15kV voltage. Current plans foresee this to happen by 2013, but the German side dragged its feet several times (budget cuts and all), originally it should have been ready last year...

This is another example of how much infrastructure counts and is linked to operation.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Apr 11th, 2007 at 06:42:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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