24% Royal 21% Le Pen 21% Sarkozy 18% Bayrou 4% Voynet (greens) as the first of the small candidates.
The evening will be ugly. In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
Here are what the polls say:
In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
Yes, thank you, I know it's a bit out there. Feel free to mock and deride me on Monday, when I'll be too busy crying to read it. "The basis of optimism is sheer terror" - Oscar Wilde
I do think that the result matters elsewhere in Europe, as well as in America, as it is a vote, in effect, on the inevitability of "reform" and on the (strangely Hegelian and Marxist) sense that history is on the side of the neoliberals and neocons, with unregulated English-speaking capitalism the (proper and desirable) end of history.
Actually, my sneaking suspicion is that Le Pen and Sarkozy will be incredibly close, but that it will tilt towards Sarkozy by the narrowest of margins in the end, with bitter accusations of fraud thrown around by the National Front. We'll see...
I am quite confident that Royal will come first, though. In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
you are the media you consume.
24.5% Sarkozy 24% Royal 19% Le Pen 16% Bayrou 6% Besancenot as the first of the small candidates. *Traitor*, n. A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
Sarko :29 Bayrou :23 Royal :22 Lepen :12
i was a bit surprised, it is of course only few of my friends but they are usually so predictable that i "think" i can guess a trend here.
It is just a bet but i dont think we are the only ones that cannot stand Royal voice ;-)
Stay optimistic, and for the record, I too feel the big surprise will be Sarkozy missing the run-off. Boy will that be a beautiful day indeed. As the US electorate showed before, everyone prefers the real thing to a cheap knock-off. If you want to be a cheap knock-off (Sarkozy) you'd best get the real thing (Le Pen) out of the way first.
