Tactless of the UMP especially considering the UDF has broken with them.
Most likely, the UDF will find more in common with the PS than the UMP. Behind closed doors, could Royal / Hollande offer Bayrou the PM seat should the left fail to take control of parliament in June?
Consider a Sarkozy victory and a right wing assembly, Sarkozy's unlikely to offer anything to Bayrou who allied himself with the PS against the UMP in a no confidence vote against de Villepin's UMP government concerning Clearstream.
Ipsos , two weeks ago also gauged that Bayrou was taking more votes from the centre-left than the centre-right.
If Segolene wins that would make her the first woman to govern France since Anne of Austria (I think) who with the aid of her able minister Mazarin put down the Fronde. Could Bayrou be the Mazarin of our times? L'inteligence sans volonté n'aboutit ŕ rien, n'est-ce pas?... Mais, la volonté sans intelligence?... Catastrophe!... Celine