I also think keeping Sarkozy under 30% is valuable and Segolene over 25%.  If He hits 30 and she slips to 24 the spin will try to be "Sarko strength" whereas with these numbers it seems obvious that Royal has sustained her support and has great potential to assemble a winning coalition.  

Can anyone imagine Royal losing significant votes by reaching out to the left party voters?  Aside from changing her campaign song to L'Internationale I don't think she'll be able to offend her base by appeasing the left.

Sarko faces a difficult task of trying to get 11 percent racist voters whose candidate is blatantly against Sarkozy.  I suspect he will move center, which will fail because he has many comments from past months that can be thrown in his face showing his, uh, Le Pen-esque tendency.