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So this is an early exit poll, right?

And for those who does not want to follow the link:


  1. Nicolas Sarkozy (UMP)    26-30 %
  2. Ségolène Royal (PS)        23-27 %
  3. Français Bayrou (UDF)    16-20 %
  4. Jean-Marie Le Pen (FN)    11-14 %


A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
by A swedish kind of death on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 12:38:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

  1. Nicolas Sarkozy (UMP)    26-27,5 %
  2. Ségolène Royal (PS)        26%
  3. Français Bayrou (UDF)    19 %
  4. Jean-Marie Le Pen (FN)    11-12 %


A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
by A swedish kind of death on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 12:49:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
update numbers from le temps:
  1. Nicolas Sarkozy (UMP) 26-27,5 %
  2. Ségolène Royal (PS) 26%
  3. Français Bayrou (UDF) 19 %
  4. Jean-Marie Le Pen (FN) 11-12 %
by someone (s0me1smail(a)gmail(d)com) on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 12:51:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Another update. Looking worse...
Candidats  Voix (selon LeTemps.ch)
  1. Nicolas Sarkozy (UMP) 30,3 %
  2. Ségolène Royal (PS) 25,8 %
  3. Français Bayrou (UDF) 17,7 %
  4. Jean-Marie Le Pen (FN) 10,7 %

by someone (s0me1smail(a)gmail(d)com) on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 01:02:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
i like it ;-)

Sarko has killed Lepen.

by fredouil (fredouil@gmailgmailgmail.com) on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 01:05:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If people are reluctant to admit that they intend to vote for Lepen in pre-election polls, why do we assume that they will be any less reluctant to admit of doing so in the exit polls? What was the last elections exit-poll forecast for Lepen relative to his final (first round) result.

The road of excess leads to the palace of wisdom - William Blake
by talos (mihalis at gmail dot com) on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 01:14:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
(18h50 ; chiffres de l'institut Ipsos sur la base de bulletins dépouillés)

Based on ballots picked up??

by someone (s0me1smail(a)gmail(d)com) on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 01:06:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No, polling station that close at 18pm start counting immediately, it's all counted now in many places, results are just not "public" (not widely at least).
by Laurent GUERBY on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 01:19:53 PM EST
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Would that be in places less inclined to vote for Royal?

"The basis of optimism is sheer terror" - Oscar Wilde
by NordicStorm (michael<-at->sturmbaum.net) on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 01:22:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Last results are big city results including Paris. See my very partial local results above (39% Royal :).
by Laurent GUERBY on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 04:23:12 PM EST
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That's Sofres apparently
They also have Besancenot as the first of the "smalls", with 4.5%

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 01:07:15 PM EST
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That's Sofres apparently

Yeah, yet they write "diverse institutes"...

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 02:57:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Le Temps
Présidentielle française 2007: Ségolène Royal et Nicolas Sarkozy en tête
Les tendances
(19h15, msources: instituts de sondages)

    Candidats    
Voix (selon LeTemps.ch)
1.
    Nicolas Sarkozy (UMP)    
29,4 %
2.
    Ségolène Royal (PS)    
26,2 %
3.
    François Bayrou (UDF)    
18,6 %
4.
    Jean-Marie Le Pen (FN)    
10,8 %
5.
    Olivier Besancenot (LCR)    
4,7 %
6.
    Marie-George Buffet (PC)    
2,1 %
7.
    Philippe de Villiers (MPF)    
2,5 %
8.
    Arlette Laguiller (LO)    
1,5%
9.
    José Bové (Alter)    
1 %
10.
    Dominique Voynet (Verts)    
1,6 %
11.
    Gérard Schivardi (PT)    
0,4 %
12.
    Frédéric Nihous (CPNT)    
1,2 %
    Participation: env. 86 %    

Quel que soit l'institut de sondages, CSA, Sofres, Ipsos ou Ifop, c'est le duel entre le candidat de l'UMP Nicolas Sarkozy et la socialiste Ségolène Royal qui se dessine pour le 2e tour du 6 mai.



If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)
by brainwave on Sun Apr 22nd, 2007 at 01:50:14 PM EST
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