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There is a wider point why PFI was used rather than borrowing directly to pay for new construction for education, hospitals (and social housing by the way). It was in fact an accounting move so that the cost of the developments would not appear on the "Public Finance Borrowing Requirement". Under EU rules this is limited to a percentage of the nation's GNI.

It was certainly that. There is also the fact that, by creating ongoing revenue streams for PFI contractors, Gordon Brown (who has been the real force behind PFI) is forging a new interest group of City-based financiers and consultants who will lobby future governments to maintain spending levels on the welfare programmes which are the ostensible purpose for these contracts - he's intending to make defunding these programmes a 'third rail' issue for the Tories when (not if) they get back in to power.

Brown's calculation, as far as I can tell, is that locking in a coalition of interests which will preserve the programmes for a multi-decadal period is more important than the final cost to the fisc or the creation of what are, in effect, a cadre of tax farmers. Personally I think this is likely to blow up in his (or more likely his successor-but-one's ) face, but you can't fault the man for not thinking long term.

Regards
Luke

-- #include witty_sig.h

by silburnl on Fri May 11th, 2007 at 06:41:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's an interesting interpretation, but why wouldn't the tories simply privatise services, farming them out to the public interests you're talking about?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri May 11th, 2007 at 06:43:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Especially when the said services go bankrupt as a result of mounting financing costs as many NHS trusts are on the brink of doing thanks to Brown's PFI.

Bush is a symptom, not the disease.
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 11th, 2007 at 06:50:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There is another way of doing it, as I said earlier, and I have now diarised and updated.

http://www.eurotrib.com/?op=displaystory;sid=2007/5/11/4047/06568

Non- toxic local investment in local productive assets is one of the consequences.

"Any economic unit can emit money. The serious problem is to get it accepted" Hyman Minsky

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Fri May 11th, 2007 at 07:00:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Overtly privatising the NHS would be very risky politically. Currently people are still under the delusion that the NHS is being run as a not-for-profit state-owned concern, when in reality it has already been split into any number of zombie-like quasi-private entities with a fictitious internal market.

The only thing that's public about it is the fact that it swallows vast sums of public money. Rather too much of that goes on free-market theatre and management consultancy, not on patient provision.

However, because Gordo has cunningly avoided saying 'We're privatising the NHS', people have been willing to put up with the changes - if only because there's no single political leverage point that can be used to fight against them.

If the Tories push try to push the process over the finish line, service provision will become a major political issue and it's unlikely they'd survive another term.

It's all rather devious, and actually quite clever.

The solution for the Tories would be to lower expectations. 'We'd love to provide a full NHS, but unfortunately - growing elderly population - increasing costs - not enough money - reluctantly we'll have to - essential services only...'

That would probably work, and there are already signs that both sides are gearing up to make exactly those kinds of statements.

(The other alternative would be to increase taxes, especially on the rich. But we all know that's not going to happen.)

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Fri May 11th, 2007 at 01:28:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There is no borrowing "requirement" for the public sector. There are at least two ways for assets to remain in public ownership with pension funds and individuals investing in long term - index linked - revenue streams.

"Any economic unit can emit money. The serious problem is to get it accepted" Hyman Minsky
by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Fri May 11th, 2007 at 07:03:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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