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Not to worry, there are other ways to resist and create.

At least, resistance is still possible in France. Let's see the bastard try "reforms", those idiots who'll vote for him aren't the ones in the streets anyway. The old, flaccid and retired Sarko supporters will spend the day watching on their tv what happens, flipping back to johnny hallyday concert videos to enjoy the nostalgia they feel for les trente glorieuses that drives so many of them an explains a lot of Sarko's latest rhetoric on '68.

And, let's be objective about this. Penchant for authoritarianism aside, which I find truly distasteful, Sarko is hardly Bush. Ideologically I find him rather soft, definitely right-wing with some neo-lib tendancies, not far from Clinton (either one) or many of the other Democratic candidates in the present field so many Americans seem so happy about.

She may still win. Lots of moving parts, including Bayrou's influence, who appears to be hardening against Sarko, and Le Pen's consigne, it must be a tough environment to poll in, the fact they appear still relatively close (53/47) yet immobile points me to a suspcion the pollsters can't figure out what the underlying dynamic is, that they haven't changed their bucket sampling.  

There's also the legislatives, where Bayrou's project may bear fruit. The Hallyday fan club (full disclosure, I once shared drinks with the guy) will vote for Sarko, but will they vote for the faceless UMP guy whose party hasn't done shit for France for 12 years? Less certain. All those Bayrou votes reported to Sarko do not report to UMP in all likelihood.

We shall see, but there's no sense in despairing for France. You want a country to despair, think like lupin, he's got the right idea. These are tough times to be an American.

Fai de bèn a Bertrand, te lou rendra en cagant

by redstar on Thu May 3rd, 2007 at 10:59:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If Royal loses, it will be critical for the PS to continue the campaign and save the eating-their-own for a party congress after the legislative elections. It's possible that the glee of the neoliberal English-language press at the election of Sarkozy might be used to get people to force a cohabitation.

But I'm not optimistic, instant infighting (just add water!) and disarray at the legislatives is far more likely.

Bush is a symptom, not the disease.

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu May 3rd, 2007 at 11:15:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think this is what the Bayrou/Royal tie-up last week was for. If Royal loses, there will be a PS/PD alliance led by a number of respected and young leaders probably headlining DSK as well, and you will see a social democratic alternative to a UMP which only has a veneer of Sarkozy to paper over a decade of poor performance.

It's not my ideal but hey, it's better than the alternative.

Fai de bèn a Bertrand, te lou rendra en cagant

by redstar on Thu May 3rd, 2007 at 11:24:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It would move the centre right just like elsewhere.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Thu May 3rd, 2007 at 04:20:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It would also leave an opening for a largish party left of the PS. Coupled with electoral reform towards proportional representation, it might not be such a bad thing.

Bush is a symptom, not the disease.
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu May 3rd, 2007 at 06:43:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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