1.) Are there more registered female voters in France as in the USA? If so, why didn't they overwhelmingly vote for the female just as a "first?" and 2.) If the demographics are the same as the US as I suspect they are; does this presage a difficult time for Hillary? alohapolitics.com
I don't think you can read very much at all about Clinton's chances here. Very very different factors.
As I wrote on an earlier thread, I think the biggest difference that a female candidate makes is that her opponent, if its a man, has to be very subtle in attacking her, lest he come off as a bully. Sarkozy did that, helped tremendously by her own faults.